Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 27, 11:26 PM ET

ERAS max pain

Spot (delayed)$15.1
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$10-33.8% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$5.28±34.9% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI0.304K puts / 12K calls
Call wall$15largest call OI
Put wall$15largest put OI
IV30108.5%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$68Kper 1% move

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$15-0.7%23d
Fri, Dec 18$10-33.8%51d
Fri, Jan 15$10-33.8%79d
Fri, Mar 19$12.5-17.2%142d
Fri, Apr 16$12.5-17.2%170d
Thu, Jun 17$12.5-17.2%232d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot103916222935$23M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 10 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot102.57.512.517.522.5303K3K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)ERAS open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot102.57.512.517.522.53033
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot51117232935305%112%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 117.4% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot2.57.512.517.522.530+$18K−$18K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.99-0.002.50.00170.00-0.00-0.01
0.98-0.0050.00550.00-0.01-0.02
0.94-0.017.50.01400.01-0.01-0.06
0.87-0.01100.02990.01-0.01-0.13
0.75-0.0212.50.04970.02-0.02-0.25
0.59-0.02150.06250.02-0.02-0.41
0.44-0.0217.50.06360.02-0.02-0.55
0.32-0.02200.05710.02-0.02-0.68
0.24-0.0222.50.04800.02-0.02-0.77
0.17-0.02250.03910.01-0.01-0.83
0.10-0.01300.02500.01-0.01-0.91
0.06-0.01350.01590.01-0.01-0.95

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot2.57.512.517.522.53030K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2.57.512.517.522.53031K31K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 127K call contracts, 29K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: ERAS workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk