Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 14, 3:21 AM ET

CTVA max pain

Spot (delayed)$13.23
Max pain · Fri, Mar 19$12.5-5.5% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$2.98±22.5% by Fri, Mar 19
Put/Call OI0.06164 puts / 3K calls
Call wall$15largest call OI
Put wall$12.5largest put OI
IV3048.9%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$37Kper 1% move

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$12.5-5.5%2d
Fri, Nov 20$12.5-5.5%37d
Fri, Dec 18$12.5-5.5%65d
Fri, Mar 19$12.5-5.5%156d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot12.55912161923$2M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 12.5 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot12.551015201K1K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)CTVA open contracts per strike for Fri, Mar 19.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot12.55101520365365
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot8111417202385%40%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 42.9% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot5101520+$20K−$20K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Mar 19

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.99—50.00630.00-0.00-0.03
0.95-0.007.50.02010.01-0.00-0.07
0.87-0.00100.05190.02-0.00-0.16
0.67-0.0012.50.10080.03-0.00-0.36
0.40-0.00150.11160.03-0.00-0.62
0.21-0.0017.50.08050.03-0.00-0.82
0.11-0.00200.04990.020.00-0.92
0.06-0.0022.50.03010.01—-0.97

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot512.517.522.56K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2.57.512.517.522.57K7K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 11K call contracts, 5K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: CTVA workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk