Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Sep 23, 2:37 AM ET

CCL max pain

Spot (delayed)$22.38
Max pain · Fri, Oct 16$24+7.2% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$2.29±10.2% by Fri, Oct 16
Put/Call OI0.6138K puts / 62K calls
Call wall$24largest call OI
Put wall$24largest put OI
IV3047.4%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$477Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $24
Earnings · expectedMon, Sep 28usually after the close

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Sep 25$22.5+0.5%2d
Fri, Oct 2$22.5+0.5%9d← 1st expiry after earnings (Mon, Sep 28)
Fri, Oct 9$22.5+0.5%16d
Fri, Oct 16$24+7.2%23d
Fri, Oct 23$23+2.8%30d
Fri, Oct 30$22-1.7%37d
Fri, Nov 20$27+20.6%58d
Fri, Dec 18$27+20.6%86d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot24152127333945$108M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 24 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot2415212427323811K11K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)CCL open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 16.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot241521242732383K3K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot152127333945143%41%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 49.7% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spotflip 24152124273238+$327K$327K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 16

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.96-0.01170.02280.01-0.01-0.04
0.94-0.01180.03680.01-0.01-0.06
0.90-0.01190.05940.01-0.01-0.11
0.82-0.02200.08910.01-0.02-0.18
0.71-0.02210.11740.02-0.02-0.29
0.64-0.0221.50.12810.02-0.02-0.36
0.58-0.02220.13540.02-0.02-0.43
0.51-0.0222.50.13850.02-0.02-0.50
0.44-0.02230.13740.02-0.02-0.56
0.38-0.0223.50.13220.02-0.02-0.63
0.32-0.02240.12390.02-0.02-0.69
0.26-0.0224.50.11310.02-0.02-0.75
0.21-0.02250.10100.02-0.02-0.79
0.17-0.0125.50.08850.01-0.02-0.83
0.14-0.01260.07640.01-0.01-0.87

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 34 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot1318.52225.529367K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot21520.525303997K97K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 438K call contracts, 499K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: CCL workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk