Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Sep 23, 2:37 AM ET

CCL max pain

Spot (delayed)$22.38
Max pain · Fri, Oct 2$22.5+0.5% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$1.81±8.1% by Fri, Oct 2
Put/Call OI0.6210K puts / 16K calls
Call wall$24largest call OI
Put wall$22largest put OI
IV3047.4%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$99Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $16
Earnings · expectedMon, Sep 28usually after the close

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Sep 25$22.5+0.5%2d
Fri, Oct 2$22.5+0.5%9d← 1st expiry after earnings (Mon, Sep 28)
Fri, Oct 9$22.5+0.5%16d
Fri, Oct 16$24+7.2%23d
Fri, Oct 23$23+2.8%30d
Fri, Oct 30$22-1.7%37d
Fri, Nov 20$27+20.6%58d
Fri, Dec 18$27+20.6%86d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot22.5131823283338$21M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 22.5 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 2

spot22.51319222528335K5K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)CCL open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 2.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 2

spot22.51319222528333K3K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 2

spot162025293438219%60%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 60.7% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 2

spotflip 16131922252833+$321K$321K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 2

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.93-0.02190.05410.01-0.02-0.07
0.90-0.0219.50.07150.01-0.02-0.10
0.86-0.03200.09330.01-0.03-0.14
0.81-0.0320.50.11760.01-0.03-0.19
0.74-0.04210.14100.01-0.04-0.26
0.66-0.0421.50.16000.01-0.04-0.34
0.58-0.04220.17200.01-0.04-0.42
0.49-0.0522.50.17580.01-0.05-0.51
0.41-0.04230.17120.01-0.04-0.60
0.33-0.0423.50.15910.01-0.04-0.68
0.26-0.04240.14160.01-0.04-0.75
0.20-0.0324.50.12140.01-0.03-0.81
0.15-0.03250.10080.01-0.03-0.86
0.11-0.0225.50.08200.01-0.02-0.89
0.09-0.02260.06580.01-0.02-0.92

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 36 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot1318.52225.529367K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot21520.525303997K97K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 438K call contracts, 499K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: CCL workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk