Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 26, 1:06 AM ET

ARWR max pain

Spot (delayed)$58.02
Max pain · Fri, Jan 21$70+20.6% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$26±44.8% by Fri, Jan 21
Put/Call OI0.521K puts / 2K calls
Call wall$70largest call OI
Put wall$70largest put OI
IV3054.8%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$24Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $70

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$62.5+7.7%25d
Fri, Dec 18$75+29.3%53d
Fri, Jan 15$70+20.6%81d
Fri, Mar 19$70+20.6%144d
Thu, Jun 17$57.5-0.9%234d
Fri, Jan 21$70+20.6%452d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot7015406590115140$14M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 70 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Jan 21

spot7015356077.5100135960960
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)ARWR open contracts per strike for Fri, Jan 21.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Jan 21

spot7015356077.51001351010
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Jan 21

spot1540659011514088%47%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 51.8% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Jan 21

spotflip 7015356077.5100135+$10K−$10K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Jan 21

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.90-0.00320.00430.11-0.01-0.10
0.88-0.01350.00510.13-0.01-0.12
0.83-0.01400.00650.16-0.01-0.17
0.82-0.01420.00710.17-0.01-0.18
0.79-0.01450.00790.19-0.01-0.21
0.74-0.01500.00910.21-0.01-0.27
0.68-0.01550.01020.23-0.01-0.33
0.66-0.0157.50.01060.24-0.01-0.36
0.63-0.01600.01100.24-0.01-0.39
0.60-0.0162.50.01130.25-0.01-0.42
0.57-0.01650.01160.25-0.01-0.45
0.55-0.0167.50.01180.26-0.01-0.48
0.52-0.01700.01190.26-0.01-0.51
0.50-0.0172.50.01200.26-0.01-0.54
0.47-0.01750.01200.26-0.01-0.57

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 37 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot15325572.5901153K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot1532.547.567.587.51154K4K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 24K call contracts, 15K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: ARWR workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk