Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 16, 9:58 PM ET

ARLO max pain

Spot (delayed)$12.16
Max pain · Fri, Nov 20$10-17.8% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$2.2±18.1% by Fri, Nov 20
Put/Call OI0.0629 puts / 486 calls
Call wall$15largest call OI
Put wall$13largest put OI
IV3077.2%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$6Kper 1% move

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$10-17.8%35d
Fri, Jan 15$11-9.5%91d
Fri, Apr 16$12-1.3%182d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot10101112131415$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 10 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot101012131415406406
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)ARLO open contracts per strike for Fri, Nov 20.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot101012131415110110
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot101112131415105%67%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 73.9% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot1012131415+$6K−$6K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Nov 20

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.79-0.01100.08590.01-0.01-0.21
0.55-0.01120.15100.01-0.01-0.44
0.42-0.02130.13990.01-0.01-0.57
0.32-0.02140.11510.01-0.02-0.67
0.27-0.02150.09440.01-0.02-0.72

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot5121518212K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot481216202K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 3K call contracts, 174 put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: ARLO workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk