Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 26, 1:03 AM ET

ARCT max pain

Spot (delayed)$10.03
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$12.5+24.6% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$2.6±25.9% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI0.88810 puts / 925 calls
Call wall$20largest call OI
Put wall$12.5largest put OI
IV3092.2%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$198per 1% move · flip ≈ $5

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$12.5+24.6%26d
Fri, Dec 18$12.5+24.6%54d
Fri, Mar 19$10-0.3%145d
Thu, Jun 17$10-0.3%235d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot12.53814192530$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 12.5 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot12.52.57.512.5152025354354
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)ARCT open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot12.52.57.512.515202588
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot3814192530316%62%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 84.3% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spotflip 52.57.512.5152025+$3K−$3K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.98-0.002.50.00620.00-0.00-0.02
0.94-0.0150.02260.00-0.01-0.06
0.83-0.017.50.07140.01-0.01-0.17
0.56-0.01100.11640.01-0.01-0.45
0.33-0.0112.50.09910.01-0.01-0.68
0.24-0.01140.08190.01-0.01-0.77
0.20-0.01150.07140.01-0.01-0.81
0.13-0.0117.50.05000.01-0.01-0.89
0.08-0.01200.03510.01-0.01-0.93
0.06-0.0022.50.02500.00-0.01-0.96
0.04-0.00250.01800.00-0.00-0.98

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 11 strikes around the money — all 12 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot2.5101420307440
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2.5710131720744744
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 2K call contracts, 1K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: ARCT workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk