Dilution profile // every instrument, one screen, from SEC filings

EXPAND ENERGY Corp (EXE)

CIK 895126 · all EDGAR filings →

Overall dilution risk
HIGHworst of 3 computed signals (offering ability)
= the worst band among the computed sub-ratings, no hidden weighting
not every sub-rating was computable; treat as a floor
Offering ability
HIGHS-3ASR on file 2024-11-20
= is there a registration (S-1/S-3 family) on file without a later withdrawal
no structured fee data on the live registrations, so this is a yes/no, not a size
Overhead supply
NOT COMPUTEDno warrant count tagged in XBRL
= warrant shares outstanding divided by current shares outstanding
absence of a tag is not proof of absence of warrants
Historical dilution
MEDIUM+79% O/S in 3y
= share count now vs 3 years ago (bands: 30% / 100%); a reverse split pushes this negative
a reverse-split-sized cliff is in this window; read the chart
Cash need
LOWoperating cash flow positive
= cash vs trailing operating burn (bands: 6mo / 24mo; positive operating CF = low)

Same rating bands the category standard uses, but free, with the formula on the chip and the gaps in the data said out loud.

Shares outstanding over time

2020-11-052026-04-24

Latest: 239.2M shares as of Apr 24, 2026 (10-Q). Share count fell from 1.95B to 9.8M between Feb 19, 2020 and Apr 27, 2020, a pattern consistent with a reverse split (roughly 1-for-200); simultaneous issuance can skew the raw ratio, so confirm in the filings. The red bar marks the cliff.

Cash runway

Self-funding

profitable · generates cash

Full breakdown: cash runway tool · source filing →

Warrants

TrancheWarrantsExercise priceTermNotes
Class C Warrants1.2Mnot tagged
Class B Warrants48,801not tagged
Class A Warrants15,705not tagged

Tranches exactly as the company dimensioned them in its 10-Q filed Jul 28, 2026. Groupings can overlap (a “Series E and F” row is not additive with a “Series E” row), so do not sum this column. A tranche the filer did not tag is absent here, not absent from the cap table. DOWN-ROUND = the filer tagged price-protection accounting scoped to that tranche.

No warrant figures tagged in this filer’s XBRL facts. That means the company has not reported them in structured form; it does not prove no warrants exist. The exhibits are the ground truth.

Convertible notes

No convertible-note facts tagged in the 10-Q filed Jul 28, 2026. If convertible notes exist, their terms live in exhibit prose for this filer and are not parsed; absence of a tag is not proof of absence. The exhibits are the ground truth.

Fully diluted build-up

Shares outstanding plus every potential-share instrument the filer tagged in XBRL, each at its own as-of date. An estimate assembled from filed figures, not a filing figure itself.

Shares outstanding239.2MApr 24, 2026
+ Class C Warrants (if exercised)1.2MDec 31, 2025
+ Class B Warrants (if exercised)48,801Dec 31, 2025
+ Class A Warrants (if exercised)15,705Dec 31, 2025
Fully diluted estimate240.5M+0.5% vs O/S

Still excluded, because the filer does not tag them in countable form: employee options and RSUs, any instrument living only in exhibit prose, and instruments above missing a share count. Inputs carry different as-of dates, shown per row. Each figure traces to the tranche and note tables above and their cited filings.

Registrations and offerings

S-3ASRNov 20, 2024fee exhibit found but no total offering amount (fees deferred, typical for automatic shelves)filing →

Last 12 months: 0 executed · 0 registered.

EXECUTEDNov 22, 2024Prospectus supplement priced — shares or notes (large filers: often a bond deal)424B2
MARKETINGNov 21, 2024Free-writing prospectus — offering being marketedFWP
REGISTEREDNov 20, 2024Automatic shelf registration — effective immediately (large filers)S-3ASR
EXECUTEDNov 20, 2024Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5
UPDATEMay 17, 2024Prospectus update — often a resale registration, not necessarily new capital424B3
EFFECTIVEMay 17, 2024SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT
UPDATEOct 7, 2022Prospectus update — often a resale registration, not necessarily new capital424B3
UPDATESep 16, 2022Prospectus update — often a resale registration, not necessarily new capital424B3
EFFECTIVESep 16, 2022SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT
REGISTEREDMar 24, 2022Automatic shelf registration — effective immediately (large filers)S-3ASR
UPDATEJan 6, 2022Prospectus update — often a resale registration, not necessarily new capital424B3
EFFECTIVEDec 30, 2021SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT

Full history and shelf status: offering checker · S-3 shelf checker

Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts and filing metadata, fetched live and cached briefly. Share counts are cover-page figures with their form named. Warrant tranches and convertible notes come from the dimensioned facts in the latest 10-Q/10-K instance document, exactly as the company tagged them; untagged tranches and notes are absent, not disproven. Nothing on this page is manually verified and nothing is behind a login: what free data supports is shown, what it cannot support is stated. Not investment advice.

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