Dilution profile // every instrument, one screen, from SEC filings

STEM, INC. (STEM)

CIK 1758766 · all EDGAR filings →

Overall dilution risk
HIGHworst of 4 computed signals (offering ability)
= the worst band among the computed sub-ratings, no hidden weighting
Offering ability
HIGH$223M registered
= total registered offering amount from the fee exhibits of live registrations (bands: $1M / $20M)
registered capacity, not remaining: amounts already taken down are not subtracted yet
Overhead supply
HIGHwarrants = 522% of O/S
= warrant shares outstanding divided by current shares outstanding (bands: 20% / 50%)
warrants only; converts, ATMs and equity lines are not in free structured data, so the true overhead is AT LEAST this
Historical dilution
LOW-94% O/S in 3y
= share count now vs 3 years ago (bands: 30% / 100%); a reverse split pushes this negative
a reverse-split-sized cliff is in this window; read the chart
Cash need
LOWoperating cash flow positive
= cash vs trailing operating burn (bands: 6mo / 24mo; positive operating CF = low)

Same rating bands the category standard uses, but free, with the formula on the chip and the gaps in the data said out loud.

Shares outstanding over time

2021-05-142026-08-05

Latest: 9.6M shares as of Aug 5, 2026 (10-Q). Share count fell from 166.4M to 8.4M between Apr 22, 2025 and Jul 31, 2025, a pattern consistent with a reverse split (roughly 1-for-20); simultaneous issuance can skew the raw ratio, so confirm in the filings. The red bar marks the cliff.

Cash runway

Self-funding

profitable · generates cash

Full breakdown: cash runway tool · source filing →

Warrants

TrancheWarrantsExercise priceTermNotes
A2030 Private Placement Warrantsnot tagged$30

Tranches exactly as the company dimensioned them in its 10-Q filed Aug 13, 2026. Groupings can overlap (a “Series E and F” row is not additive with a “Series E” row), so do not sum this column. A tranche the filer did not tag is absent here, not absent from the cap table. DOWN-ROUND = the filer tagged price-protection accounting scoped to that tranche.

Warrants outstanding: 50.2M underlying shares, as reported Apr 28, 2021 (10-Q).

Reported exercise price: $0.01 (aggregate figure as tagged; individual tranches vary).

Balance-sheet fair value of warrants: $304.3M as of Jun 30, 2021.

Down-round (price protection) accounting has been tagged in this filer’s XBRL: some instrument carries repricing protection. Which tranche requires reading the exhibits.

Rough fully diluted estimate: 59.8M = 9.6M O/S + 50.2M warrant shares. An estimate, not a filing figure: it ignores converts, options and RSUs, and the two inputs carry different as-of dates.

Convertible notes

NotePrincipalCarryingConv. priceRateIf converted
2028 Convertible Notes$460.0M$68.2M$584.860.5%~786,513 sh
2028 Convertible Notes and 2030 Convertible Notesnot tagged$343.9Mnot tagged
2030 Convertible Notes$240.0M$118.7M$142.554.25%~1.7M sh
Secured Debtnot tagged$6.23

If every note above converted at its tagged price: ~2.5M new shares on 9.6M currently outstanding. An estimate from principal ÷ conversion price, with inputs carrying different as-of dates; make-whole adjustments, capped calls and partial repurchases are not modeled.

Notes exactly as the company dimensioned them in its 10-Q filed Aug 13, 2026. Principal is face amount as tagged, not what remains after repurchases unless the filer updated the tag. A note the filer did not dimension is absent here, not absent from the balance sheet; the exhibits stay the ground truth.

Fully diluted build-up

Shares outstanding plus every potential-share instrument the filer tagged in XBRL, each at its own as-of date. An estimate assembled from filed figures, not a filing figure itself.

Shares outstanding9.6MAug 5, 2026
+ Warrants (aggregate, as tagged) (if exercised)50.2MApr 28, 2021
+ 2028 Convertible Notes (if fully converted)786,513Nov 22, 2021
+ 2030 Convertible Notes (if fully converted)1.7MApr 3, 2023
Fully diluted estimate62.3M+547.2% vs O/S

Still excluded, because the filer does not tag them in countable form: employee options and RSUs, any instrument living only in exhibit prose, and instruments above missing a share count. Inputs carry different as-of dates, shown per row. Each figure traces to the tranche and note tables above and their cited filings.

Registrations and offerings

Registered offering capacity on live registrations: $223.3Mfrom the structured fee exhibits; registered is not remaining, takedowns are not subtracted

S-3Jun 2, 2026$3.4M registeredfiling →
S-3Nov 26, 2025$200.0M registeredfiling →
S-3Sep 2, 2025$19.9M registeredfiling →

Last 12 months: 3 executed · 3 registered.

EXECUTEDJun 22, 2026Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5
EFFECTIVEJun 10, 2026SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT
REGISTEREDJun 2, 2026S-3 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-3
EXECUTEDMar 6, 2026Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5
EFFECTIVEDec 11, 2025SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT
REGISTEREDNov 26, 2025S-3 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-3
EXECUTEDSep 9, 2025Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5
EFFECTIVESep 8, 2025SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT
REGISTEREDSep 2, 2025S-3 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-3
EXECUTEDJun 30, 2025Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K
EXECUTEDApr 3, 2023Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K
UPDATESep 15, 2022Prospectus update — often a resale registration, not necessarily new capital424B3

Full history and shelf status: offering checker · S-3 shelf checker

Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts and filing metadata, fetched live and cached briefly. Share counts are cover-page figures with their form named. Warrant tranches and convertible notes come from the dimensioned facts in the latest 10-Q/10-K instance document, exactly as the company tagged them; untagged tranches and notes are absent, not disproven. Nothing on this page is manually verified and nothing is behind a login: what free data supports is shown, what it cannot support is stated. Not investment advice.

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