Is NAKA diluting shareholders?

Read three numbers together: shares outstanding over time (696.1M as of 2026-05-11), warrants that can convert into new shares (72.3M reported), and how much cash runway remains (~18.016715990758396 months). A company short on cash with live registrations is structurally likely to issue shares.

Where do these numbers come from?

SEC EDGAR only: the XBRL company-facts API for shares, warrants and cash, and filing metadata for registrations and pricings. Every figure shows its source form, and nothing here is estimated by us beyond the arithmetic stated next to it.

Why might a warrant tranche be missing from the table?

The tranche table is built from the dimensions the company tagged in its own 10-Q or 10-K XBRL. A tranche the filer chose not to dimension does not appear, and its absence proves nothing: the exhibits remain the ground truth. Everything shown carries the filing it came from.

Dilution profile // every instrument, one screen, from SEC filings

Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA)

CIK 1946573 · all EDGAR filings →

Overall dilution risk

HIGHworst of 4 computed signals (offering ability)

= the worst band among the computed sub-ratings, no hidden weighting

Offering ability

HIGH$9325M registered

= total registered offering amount from the fee exhibits of live registrations (bands: $1M / $20M)

one or more live registrations had no structured fee data, so the true total is AT LEAST this

Overhead supply

LOWwarrants = 10% of O/S

= warrant shares outstanding divided by current shares outstanding (bands: 20% / 50%)

warrants only; converts, ATMs and equity lines are not in free structured data, so the true overhead is AT LEAST this

Historical dilution

HIGH+11620% O/S in 3y

= share count now vs 3 years ago (bands: 30% / 100%); a reverse split pushes this negative

Cash need

MEDIUM~18 months of runway

= cash vs trailing operating burn (bands: 6mo / 24mo; positive operating CF = low)

the company itself flagged going-concern doubt

Same rating bands the category standard uses, but free, with the formula on the chip and the gaps in the data said out loud.

Shares outstanding over time

Latest: 696.1M shares as of May 11, 2026 (10-Q).

Cash runway

Going-concern warning

auditor flagged substantial doubt

The company itself flagged going-concern doubt in a filing.

Full breakdown: cash runway tool

Warrants

Warrants outstanding: 72.3M underlying shares, as reported Dec 31, 2025 (10-K).

Rough fully diluted estimate: 768.4M = 696.1M O/S + 72.3M warrant shares. An estimate, not a filing figure: it ignores converts, options and RSUs, and the two inputs carry different as-of dates.

Convertible notes

No convertible-note facts tagged in the 10-Q filed May 13, 2026. If convertible notes exist, their terms live in exhibit prose for this filer and are not parsed; absence of a tag is not proof of absence. The exhibits are the ground truth.

Fully diluted build-up

Shares outstanding plus every potential-share instrument the filer tagged in XBRL, each at its own as-of date. An estimate assembled from filed figures, not a filing figure itself.

Shares outstanding	696.1M	May 11, 2026
+ Warrants (aggregate, as tagged) (if exercised)	72.3M	Dec 31, 2025
Fully diluted estimate	768.4M	+10.4% vs O/S

Still excluded, because the filer does not tag them in countable form: employee options and RSUs, any instrument living only in exhibit prose, and instruments above missing a share count. Inputs carry different as-of dates, shown per row. Each figure traces to the tranche and note tables above and their cited filings.

Registrations and offerings

Registered offering capacity on live registrations: $9325.1Mfrom the structured fee exhibits; registered is not remaining, takedowns are not subtracted

S-3Apr 9, 2026$6993.6M registeredfiling →

S-3Apr 9, 2026fee exhibit found but no total offering amount (fees deferred, typical for automatic shelves)filing →

S-3ASRSep 15, 2025$2331.5M registeredfiling →

Last 12 months: 3 executed · 6 registered.

UPDATEApr 24, 2026Prospectus update — often a resale registration, not necessarily new capital424B3 →

EFFECTIVEApr 23, 2026SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT →

REGISTEREDApr 17, 2026S-3/A registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-3/A →

REGISTEREDApr 9, 2026S-3 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-3 →

UPDATEMar 31, 2026Prospectus update — often a resale registration, not necessarily new capital424B3 →

EXECUTEDFeb 26, 2026Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K →

UPDATEFeb 26, 2026Prospectus update — often a resale registration, not necessarily new capital424B3 →

EXECUTEDFeb 17, 2026Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K →

Full history and shelf status: offering checker · S-3 shelf checker

Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts and filing metadata, fetched live and cached briefly. Share counts are cover-page figures with their form named. Warrant tranches and convertible notes come from the dimensioned facts in the latest 10-Q/10-K instance document, exactly as the company tagged them; untagged tranches and notes are absent, not disproven. Nothing on this page is manually verified and nothing is behind a login: what free data supports is shown, what it cannot support is stated. Not investment advice.

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