Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis
Item
2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
The
following discussion and analysis of the Trust’s financial condition and results of operations should be read together with, and
is qualified in its entirety by reference to, the Trust’s unaudited financial statements and related notes included elsewhere in
this Quarterly Report, which have been prepared in accordance with GAAP.
This Quarterly
Report on Form 10-Q (the “Quarterly Report”) includes “forward-looking statements” with respect to the financial
conditions, results of operations, plans, objectives, future performance and business of Canary XRP ETF (the “Trust”). In
some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by terminology such as “may,” “will,” “should,”
“expect,” “plan,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “predict,”
“potential,” or the negative of these terms or other comparable terminology. All statements (other than statements of historical
fact) included in this Quarterly Report that address activities, events, or developments that will or may occur in the future, including
such matters as movements in the digital asset markets, the Trust’s operations, the plans of Canary Capital Group LLC (the “Sponsor”),
and references to the Trust’s future success and other similar matters, are forward-looking statements. These statements are only
predictions. Actual events or results may differ materially. These statements are based upon certain assumptions and analyses the Sponsor
has made based on its perception of historical trends, current conditions, and expected future developments, as well as other factors
appropriate in the circumstances.
Factors which could have a material
adverse effect on the Trust’s business, financial condition or results of operations and future prospects or which could cause actual
results to differ materially from the Trust’s expectations include, but are not limited to:
● the special considerations discussed in this Quarterly
Report;
● general economic, market and business conditions;
● technology developments
regarding the use of XRP and other digital assets, including the systems used by the Sponsor and the Trust’s custodians in their
provision of services to the Trust;
● changes in laws or regulations,
including those concerning taxes, made by governmental authorities or regulatory bodies;
● other world economic and
political developments, including, without limitation, global pandemics and the societal and government responses thereto; and
● any additional factors
discussed in this Quarterly Report, as well as those described from time to time in the Trust’s future reports filed with the SEC.
All the forward-looking statements
made in this Quarterly Report are qualified by these cautionary statements, and there can be no assurance that the actual results or developments
the Sponsor anticipates will be realized or, even if substantially realized, that they will result in the expected consequences to, or
have the expected effects on, the Trust’s operations or the value of the Shares.
Should one
or more of these factors or other uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual outcomes may vary
materially from those described in forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are made based on the Sponsor’s beliefs,
estimates and opinions on the date the statements are made, and neither the Trust nor the Sponsor is under a duty to update any of the
forward-looking statements to conform such statements to actual results or to reflect a change in the Sponsor’s expectations or
predictions, other than as required by applicable laws. Investors are therefore cautioned against relying on forward-looking statements.
Overview of the Trust
The Trust
is an exchange-traded fund that issues Shares that are listed and trade on the Exchange. The Trust’s investment objective is to
seek to provide exposure to the price of XRP held by the Trust, less the expenses of the Trust’s operations and other liabilities.
The Trust is a passive investment vehicle that does not seek to generate returns beyond tracking the price of XRP. In seeking to achieve
its investment objective, the Trust holds XRP and establishes its NAV on each business day by reference to the Pricing Benchmark. The
Pricing Benchmark is calculated by the Benchmark Provider based on a 60-minute time-weighted average price of the Underlying Index, which
is an aggregation of executed trade flow of Constituent Platforms. The Benchmark Provider publishes the Pricing Benchmark. The Trust is
sponsored by the Sponsor.
The Shareholders of the Trust
take no part in the management or control, and have no voice in, the Trust’s operations or business. Except to elect a successor
Sponsor upon the resignation of the Sponsor or as otherwise required by laws of the state of Delaware, Shareholders have no voting rights
under the Trust Agreement.
Liquidity
and Capital Resources
The Trust
typically does not hold a cash balance except in connection with the creation and redemption of “Baskets” (i.e., blocks of
10,000 Shares) or to pay expenses not assumed by the Sponsor. The Trust pays the Sponsor an annual unified fee of 0.50% of the Trust’s
XRP Holdings (the “Sponsor Fee”). The Trust’s “XRP Holdings” is the quantity of the Trust’s XRP plus
any cash or other assets held by the Trust represented in XRP as calculated using the Pricing Benchmark price, less its liabilities (which
include estimated accrued but unpaid fees and expenses) represented in XRP as calculated using the Pricing Benchmark price.
13
The Trust
may also incur certain extraordinary, nonrecurring expenses that are not assumed by the Sponsor, including, but not limited to, brokerage
and transaction costs associated with the sale or transfer of XRP, taxes and governmental charges, expenses and costs of any extraordinary
services performed by the Sponsor (or any other service provider) on behalf of the Trust to protect the Trust, the Trust’s assets,
or the interests of Shareholders, any indemnification of the Custodians or other agents, service providers or counterparties of the Trust,
and extraordinary legal fees and expenses, including any legal fees and expenses incurred in connection with litigation, regulatory enforcement
or investigation matters (collectively, “Extraordinary Expenses”). To the extent on-chain transaction fees are incurred in
connection with transfers or sales of XRP to pay Extraordinary Expenses, the Trust will bear such fees.
To the extent
it does not have cash readily available, the Sponsor shall cause the transfer or sale of XRP in such quantity as may be necessary to permit
the payment of Trust expenses and liabilities not assumed by the Sponsor or for payment of redemption proceeds to Authorized Participants.
The Trust does not bear any costs associated with the transfer or sale of XRP to pay the Sponsor Fee. To the extent the Trust incurs any
Extraordinary Expenses, the Trust will bear the costs of any transfers or sales of XRP to pay such expenses. The Trust seeks to transfer
XRP at such times and in the smallest amounts required to permit such payments as they become due. With respect to transfers or sales
necessary to pay Trust expenses and liabilities that are denominated other than in XRP, the amount of XRP transferred or sold may vary
from time to time depending on the actual sales price of XRP relative to the Trust’s expenses and liabilities (e.g., if the price
of XRP falls, the amount of XRP needed to be transferred or sold to pay an expense denominated in U.S. dollars will increase). To the
extent the Trust must buy or sell XRP, the Trust may do so through a third-party digital asset broker or dealer. When the Trust buys or
sells XRP, the Sponsor seeks quotes from its XRP trading counterparties. Such transactions are typically conducted over the counter rather
than over a trading platform or similar order matching service. The Sponsor selects third party brokers or dealers that it believes have
implemented adequate AML, KYC and other legal compliance policies and procedures.
Results of Operations for the Three Months Ended March
31, 2026*
The Trust’s
net asset value decreased from $322,819,725 at December 31, 2025, to $264,767,022 at March 31, 2026. The change in the Trust’s net
assets resulted from an increase in outstanding Shares, which rose from 16,490,000 at December 31, 2025, to 18,540,000 at March 31, 2026,
as a result of 2,080,000 Shares being created and 30,000 Shares being redeemed during the quarter, and a decrease in the value of XRP,
which depreciated -26.96% from $1.84 at December 31, 2025, to $1.34 at March 31, 2026.
The net asset
value per Share decreased -27.07% from $19.58 at December 31, 2025, to $14.28 at March 31, 2026.
The net asset
value per Share of $24.68 at January 5, 2026 was the highest during the quarter, compared with a low of $12.60 at February 5, 2026.
The decrease
in net assets from operations for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, was $(95,340,310), resulting from a decrease in unrealized gain on
the Trust’s XRP investment of $(94,729,702), realized losses on the disposition of XRP of $(235,609), and Sponsor Fees incurred
of $374,999.
* No comparative periods have been presented as the initial share purchase date of the Trust was November 12, 2025.
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
As of March
31, 2026, the Trust has not used, nor does it expect to use in the future, special purpose entities to facilitate off balance sheet financing
arrangements and has no loan guarantee arrangements or off-balance sheet arrangements of any kind other than agreements entered into in
the normal course of business, which may include indemnification provisions related to certain risks service providers undertake in performing
services which are in the best interests of the Trust. While the Trust’s exposure under such indemnification provisions cannot be
estimated, these general business indemnifications are not expected to have a material impact on the Trust’s financial position.
Critical Accounting Policies
Principal Market and Fair Value Determination
The Trust’s
periodic financial statements are prepared in accordance with the FASB ASC Topic 820 and utilize an exchange-traded price from the Trust’s
principal market for XRP on the Trust’s financial statement measurement date. The Sponsor determined in its sole discretion the
valuation sources and policies used to prepare the Trust’s financial statements in accordance with GAAP. The Trust engaged a third-party
vendor to obtain a price from a principal market for XRP, which was determined and designated by such third-party vendor daily based on
its consideration of several exchange characteristics, including oversight, and the volume and frequency of trades. Under GAAP, such a
price is deemed a Level 1 input in accordance with ASC Topic 820 because it is a quoted price in active markets for identical assets or
liabilities.
Investment Company Considerations
The Trust follows
accounting and reporting guidance in accordance with the FASB ASC Topic 946, Financial Services – Investment Companies. The
Trust uses fair value as its method of accounting for XRP. The Trust qualifies as an investment company solely for accounting
purposes and not for any other purpose. The Trust is not registered, and is not required to be registered, as an investment company
under the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended. GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the
reported amounts in the financial statements and accompanying notes. Actual results could differ from those estimates and these
differences could be material.
14
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About
Market Risk .
Not applicable to “Smaller Reporting Companies,”
as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.
Text extracted from the filing as submitted to EDGAR. Formatting, tables and exhibits are simplified for reading; the original document is authoritative for anything you rely on.