Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis
ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Factors That May Affect Future Results
This Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q contains forward-looking statements, within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. A number of factors could cause our actual results, performance, achievements or industry results to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not limited to: our ability to control costs and meet our labor needs in a rising wage, inflationary, and/or supply chain constrained environment; the impact of competition and pricing, including our ability to maintain current promotional intensity levels; the effects and duration of economic downturns and unemployment rates; our ability to achieve expected operating results from, and planned growth of, our Shoe Station banner, which includes the recently acquired stores and operations of Rogan’s, within expected time frames, or at all; the potential impact of national and international security concerns, including those caused by war and terrorism, on the retail environment; general economic conditions in the areas of the continental United States and Puerto Rico where our stores are located; changes in the overall retail environment and more specifically in the apparel and footwear retail sectors; our ability to successfully utilize the e-commerce sales channel and its impact on traffic and transactions in our physical stores; the success of the open-air shopping centers where many of our stores are located and the impact on our ability to attract customers to our stores; our ability to attract customers to our e-commerce platform and to successfully grow our omnichannel sales; the effectiveness of our inventory management, including our ability to manage key merchandise vendor relationships and direct-to-consumer initiatives; changes in our relationships with other key suppliers; changes in the political and economic environments in, the status of trade relations with, and the impact of changes in trade policies and tariffs impacting, China and other countries which are the major manufacturers of footwear; our ability to successfully manage and execute our marketing initiatives and maintain positive brand perception and recognition; our ability to successfully manage our current real estate portfolio and leasing obligations; changes in weather, including patterns impacted by climate change; changes in consumer buying trends and our ability to identify and respond to emerging fashion trends; the impact of disruptions in our distribution or information technology operations, including at our distribution center located in Evansville, IN; the impact of natural disasters, public health and political crises, civil unrest, and other catastrophic events on our operations and the operations of our suppliers, as well as on consumer confidence and purchasing in general; the duration and spread of a public health crisis and the mitigating efforts deployed, including the effects of government stimulus on consumer spending; risks associated with the seasonality of the retail industry; the impact of unauthorized disclosure or misuse of personal and confidential information about our customers, vendors and employees, including as a result of a cybersecurity breach; our ability to effectively integrate Rogan’s, retain Rogan’s employees, and achieve the expected operating results, synergies, efficiencies and other benefits from the Rogan’s acquisition within the expected time frames, or at all; risks that the Rogan’s acquisition may disrupt our current plans and operations or negatively impact our relationship with our vendors and other suppliers; our ability to successfully execute our business strategy, including the availability of desirable store locations at acceptable lease terms, our ability to identify, consummate or effectively integrate future acquisitions, our ability to implement and adapt to new technology and systems, our ability to open new stores in a timely and profitable manner, including our entry into major new markets, and the availability of sufficient funds to implement our business plans; higher than anticipated costs associated with the closing of underperforming stores; the inability of manufacturers to deliver products in a timely manner; an increase in the cost, or a disruption in the flow, of imported goods; the impact of regulatory changes in the United States, including minimum wage laws and regulations, and the countries where our manufacturers are located; the resolution of litigation or regulatory proceedings in which we are or may become involved; continued volatility and disruption in the capital and credit markets; future stock repurchases under our stock repurchase program and future dividend payments. For a more detailed discussion of risk factors impacting us, see the “Risk Factors” section of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended February 3, 2024.
General
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations is intended to provide information to assist the reader in better understanding and evaluating our financial condition and results of operations. We encourage you to read this in conjunction with our Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements and the notes thereto included in PART I, ITEM 1 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, as well as our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended February 3, 2024 as filed with the SEC. This section of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q generally discusses our results for third quarter 2024 and third quarter 2023 and year-over-year comparisons between third quarter 2024 and third quarter 2023, as well as year-to-date results for, and comparisons between, the two periods.
Referred to herein, third quarter 2024 is the thirteen weeks ended November 2, 2024 and third quarter 2023 is the thirteen weeks ended October 28, 2023. Also referred to herein, year-to-date 2024 is the thirty-nine weeks ended November 2, 2024 and year-to-date 2023 is the thirty-nine weeks ended October 28, 2023.
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Overview of Our Business
Shoe Carnival, Inc. is one of the nation’s largest omnichannel family footwear retailers. On December 3, 2021, we began operating under two banners: Shoe Carnival and Shoe Station. On February 13, 2024, we furthered our acquisition strategy by acquiring all of the stock of Rogan Shoes, Incorporated (“Rogan’s”). The acquisition of Rogan’s added 28 physical stores (25 in Wisconsin, 2 in Minnesota, and 1 in Illinois) to our portfolio, positioned us as the market leader in Wisconsin and established a store base in Minnesota, creating additional expansion opportunities. As previously noted, Rogan’s is being integrated into our Shoe Station banner and our current plan is to brand and operate these stores over time using both the Rogan’s and Shoe Station trade names. More information about the acquisition of Rogan’s can be found in Note 2 — “Acquisition of Rogan Shoes” to our Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements contained in PART I, ITEM 1 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.
Our objective is to be the nation’s leading family footwear retailer. Our product assortment, whether shopping in a physical store or through our e-commerce sales channels, is primarily branded footwear and includes dress and casual shoes, sandals, boots and a wide assortment of athletic shoes. Our typical physical store carries shoes in two general categories – athletics and non-athletics with subcategories for men’s, women’s and children’s, as well as a broad range of accessories. In addition to our physical stores, through our e-commerce sales channels, customers can purchase the same assortment of merchandise in all categories of footwear with expanded options in certain instances.
Our stores under the Shoe Carnival banner combine competitive pricing with a high-energy in-store environment that encourages customer participation. Footwear in our Shoe Carnival physical stores is organized by category and brand, creating strong brand statements within the aisles. These brand statements are underscored by branded signage on endcaps and in-line signage throughout the store. Our signage may highlight a vendor’s product offerings or sales promotions, or may highlight seasonal or lifestyle statements by grouping similar footwear from multiple vendors.
The Shoe Station banner and retail locations, including Rogan’s locations, are a complementary retail platform for us to serve a broader base of family footwear customers in both urban and suburban demographics. The Shoe Station concept targets a more affluent family footwear customer and has a strong track record of capitalizing on emerging footwear fashion trends and introducing new brands. Due to the larger average size of our Shoe Station stores and the targeted, more affluent customer, these locations provide a primary destination shopping experience.
We believe our distinctive shopping experiences give us various competitive advantages, including increased multiple unit sales; the building of a loyal, repeat customer base; the creation of word-of-mouth advertising; and enhanced sell-through of in-season goods.
Critical Accounting Policies
We use judgment in reporting our financial results. This judgment involves estimates based in part on our historical experience and incorporates the impact of the current general economic climate and company-specific circumstances. However, because future events and economic conditions are inherently uncertain, our actual results could differ materially from these estimates. Our accounting policies that require more significant judgments include those with respect to Merchandise Inventories, valuation of long-lived assets, valuation of Goodwill and Intangible Assets, leases and income taxes. The accounting policies that require more significant judgment are discussed in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended February 3, 2024, and there have been no material changes to those critical accounting policies.
Results of Operations Summary Information
Number of Stores
Store Square Footage
Comparable
Beginning
Permanently
End of
Net
End
Store Net
Quarter Ended
of Period
Opened
Acquired
Closed
Period
Change
of Period
Sales (1)
May 4, 2024
400
2
28
0
430
377,000
4,946,000
(3.4
)%
August 3, 2024
430
1
0
1
430
2,000
4,948,000
(2.1
)%
November 2, 2024
430
1
0
0
431
28,000
4,976,000
(4.1
)%
Year-to-date
400
4
28
1
431
407,000
4,976,000
(3.2
)%
April 29, 2023
397
1
0
1
397
5,000
4,510,000
(11.9
)%
July 29, 2023
397
2
0
0
399
32,000
4,542,000
(6.5
)%
October 28, 2023
399
2
0
0
401
38,000
4,580,000
(7.4
)%
Year-to-date
397
5
0
1
401
75,000
4,580,000
(8.6
)%
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(1) Comparable stores Net Sales is a key performance indicator for us. Comparable stores Net Sales include stores that have been open for 13 full months after such stores’ grand opening or acquisition prior to the beginning of the period, including those stores that have been relocated, remodeled or rebannered. Therefore, stores recently opened, acquired or permanently closed are not included in comparable stores Net Sales. We generally include e-commerce sales in our comparable stores Net Sales as a result of our omnichannel retailer strategy. Due to our omnichannel retailer strategy, we view e-commerce sales as an extension of our physical stores. E-commerce sales channels associated with a physical store acquisition will not be included in comparable stores Net Sales until the initial physical stores are included. The 21 original Shoe Station stores acquired and the www.shoestation.com e-commerce site that went live in early February 2023 were included in comparable stores Net Sales calculations beginning in first quarter 2023. All Rogan’s sales (physical stores and e-commerce) are excluded from our comparable stores Net Sales.
Our fiscal year is a 52/53 week year ending on the Saturday closest to January 31. Fiscal 2023 consisted of the 53 weeks ended February 3, 2023, while Fiscal 2024 consists of the 52 weeks ending February 1, 2025. The 53rd week in Fiscal 2023 caused a one-week shift in our fiscal calendar. As a result, each of our first three quarters in Fiscal 2024 is shifted one week later compared to Fiscal 2023. This one-week shift impacts our year-over-year sales comparisons when there are seasonal sales influences that fall near the respective quarter-end dates. To minimize the effect of this fiscal calendar shift on comparable stores Net Sales, our reported comparable stores Net Sales results for third quarter 2024 in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and our other public disclosures compare the thirteen-week and thirty-nine week periods ended November 2, 2024 to the thirteen-week and thirty-nine week periods ended November 4, 2023. As such, changes in comparable stores Net Sales may not be consistent with changes in Net Sales reported for the fiscal period.
The following table sets forth our results of operations expressed as a percentage of Net Sales for the periods indicated:
Thirteen
Weeks Ended
November 2, 2024
Thirteen
Weeks Ended
October 28, 2023
Thirty-nine
Weeks Ended
November 2, 2024
Thirty-nine
Weeks Ended
October 28, 2023
Net sales
100.0
%
100.0
%
100.0
%
100.0
%
Cost of sales (including buying, distribution and
occupancy costs)
64.0
63.2
64.1
64.1
Gross profit
36.0
36.8
35.9
35.9
Selling, general and administrative expenses
28.0
28.1
27.7
27.7
Operating income
8.0
8.7
8.2
8.2
Interest income, net
(0.3
)
(0.2
)
(0.2
)
(0.2
)
Income tax expense
2.0
2.1
2.1
1.9
Net income
6.3
%
6.8
%
6.3
%
6.5
%
Executive Summary for Third Quarter Ended November 2, 2024
During third quarter 2024, Net Sales of $306.9 million were down $13.0 million, or 4.1%, compared to third quarter 2023. Due to the calendar shift described above, an important week of the back-to-school season that was included in third quarter 2023 was moved into the second quarter in Fiscal 2024. The net effect of this shift decreased third quarter 2024 Net Sales by approximately $20 million compared to third quarter 2023. In third quarter 2024, Net Sales otherwise increased $7.0 million, or 2.2%, compared to third quarter 2023. This increase was led by Rogan’s, which was acquired on February 13, 2024 and delivered third quarter 2024 Net Sales of approximately $22.3 million, and new store growth from Shoe Station stores.
On a comparable store basis, which excludes the impact of the calendar shift, Rogan’s sales and sales from other new stores, Net Sales were down 4.1%. During third quarter 2024, our comparable stores Net Sales grew in August due to our strong back-to-school performance; however, comparable stores Net Sales declined in September and October due to the impact of two hurricanes on approximately half of our stores and the shopping habits of our customer base in the affected locations and persistently warm weather, which has delayed demand for fall seasonal merchandise. In the quarter, boot sales were down 31%, reflecting approximately half of the comparable stores Net Sales decline in third quarter 2024. Comparable stores Net Sales growth in athletics partially offset these lower boot sales.
Long-term gross profit margin expansion has been a key driver of our profit transformation, led by our targeted promotional plans, buying strategies and growth of our customer loyalty program, Shoe Perks. During third quarter 2024, our gross profit margin was above 35% for the 15th consecutive quarter at 36.0% and decreased approximately 80 basis points compared to third quarter 2023, primarily due to higher buying, distribution and occupancy costs (“BD&O”) from operating more stores and the deleveraging effect of the lower, shifted Net Sales during the quarter.
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On a year-to-date basis, which now includes the material offsetting impacts of the retail calendar shift, Net Sales in 2024 totaled $939.9 million, an increase of 4.9% versus year-to-date 2023 and gross profit margin was consistent with the prior year.
As market conditions softened in September and October, we lowered selling costs at Shoe Carnival and Shoe Station stores. These lower selling expenses reflected optimized advertising spend, driven by our digital-first marketing strategy. In third quarter 2024, our selling, general, and administrative expenses (“SG&A”) were lower than third quarter 2023 by $3.9 million as these lower store selling expenses more than offset the cost of operating Rogan’s stores. While Rogan’s costs were an additional expense in third quarter 2024 compared to third quarter 2023, those cost increases were mitigated by the synergies captured during third quarter 2024 from completing the integration of Rogan’s store operations, marketing, e-commerce platforms, point-of-sale systems, merchandising and back office functions. We currently estimate that Rogan’s synergy capture will be over $1 million in Fiscal 2024, with a significant portion of that recognized in third quarter 2024.
Third quarter 2024 Operating Income totaled $24.5 million and decreased 12.2% versus third quarter 2023, primarily due to the lower Net Sales from the calendar shift and soft demand in September and October. These declines were partially offset by growth, principally from the Rogan’s acquisition and related synergies, as well as lower SG&A.
Operating Income in third quarter 2024 included $369,000 in merger and integration expenses related to the Rogan’s acquisition, of which $248,000 were in Cost of Sales and $121,000 were in SG&A.
Third quarter 2024 Net Income was $19.2 million, or $0.70 per diluted share, compared to third quarter 2023 Net Income of $21.9 million, or $0.80 per diluted share. The decrease reflected the lower Operating Income and a higher effective tax rate.
Merchandise Inventories totaled $406.6 million at the end of third quarter 2024, an increase of approximately $38.3 million compared to the end of third quarter 2023, primarily reflecting Rogan’s acquired inventory. Merchandise Inventories supporting the Shoe Carnival and Shoe Station bannered stores were approximately 1% lower on a dollar basis at the end of third quarter 2024 compared to the end of third quarter 2023.
At the end of third quarter 2024, we had total Cash, Cash Equivalents and Marketable Securities of $91.1 million. Cash and Cash Equivalents increased $17.3 million compared to the end of third quarter 2023, and cash flows from operations in year-to-date 2024 totaled $58.1 million. Fiscal 2023 year end marked the 19th consecutive year we ended the fiscal year with no debt, and in year-to-date 2024, we continued to fund our operations and growth investments, including the purchase of Rogan’s, from operating cash flows and without incurring debt. In year-to-date 2024, we have paid $44.4 million for Rogan’s and, based on the purchase price adjustments, we owed another $378,000 that was paid in November 2024. Up to an additional $5.0 million in consideration will be due in 2027 if three-year performance targets are met.
Results of Operations for Third Quarter Ended November 2, 2024 Compared to Third Quarter Ended October 28, 2023
Net Sales
Net Sales were $306.9 million during third quarter 2024, a decrease of $13.0 million or 4.1%, compared to third quarter 2023. The decrease reflected the impact of the calendar shift moving approximately $20 million of Net Sales out of third quarter 2024. Net Sales otherwise increased $7.0 million, or 2.2%, compared to third quarter 2023. This increase was primarily due to the acquisition of Rogan’s, which added Net Sales of $22.3 million in third quarter 2024, and new store growth in the Shoe Station banner, partially offset by a comparable stores Net Sales decline of 4.1%. During third quarter 2024, our comparable stores Net Sales grew in August due to our strong back-to-school performance; however, comparable stores Net Sales declined in September and October due to the impact of two hurricanes on approximately half of our stores and the shopping habits of our customer base in the affected locations and persistently warm weather, which has delayed demand for fall seasonal merchandise. In third quarter 2024, boot sales were down 31%, reflecting approximately half of the comparable stores Net Sales decline in the quarter. E-commerce sales were approximately 11% of merchandise sales in third quarter 2024, compared to 10% in third quarter 2023.
Gross Profit
Gross Profit was $110.4 million during third quarter 2024, a decrease of $7.3 million compared to third quarter 2023. Gross profit margin in third quarter 2024 was 36.0% compared to 36.8% in third quarter 2023. The decrease in gross profit margin was driven by BD&O, which increased in third quarter 2024 compared to third quarter 2023 due to higher occupancy costs associated with operating more stores and the deleveraging effect of lower Net Sales in third quarter 2024 compared to third quarter 2023. The decrease in gross profit margin was partially offset by a 50 basis point increase in merchandise margin in third quarter 2024 compared to third quarter 2023 .
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Selling, General and Administrative Expenses
SG&A decreased $3.9 million in third quarter 2024 to $85.9 million compared to $89.8 million in third quarter 2023. The decrease in SG&A expenses was due primarily to lower selling costs at Shoe Carnival and Shoe Station bannered stores, partially offset by the costs associated with operating the recently acquired Rogan’s stores. As a percentage of Net Sales, SG&A were 28.0% in third quarter 2024 compared to 28.1% in third quarter 2023.
Interest Income and Interest Expense
Changes in our interest income and expense increased our income before taxes by $247,000 in third quarter 2024 compared to third quarter 2023. This increase was primarily due to higher interest earned on invested cash balances.
Income Taxes
The effective income tax rate for third quarter 2024 was 24.7% compared to 23.8% for third quarter 2023. Our provision for income taxes is based on the current estimate of our annual effective tax rate and is adjusted as necessary for quarterly events. The higher effective tax rate in third quarter 2024 compared to third quarter 2023 was primarily due to discrete adjustments recorded in third quarter 2023 that did not recur in third quarter 2024. For the full 2024 fiscal year, we expect our tax rate to be between 25.6% and 26.0% compared to the 23.7% effective tax rate recognized during the full 2023 fiscal year.
Results of Operations Year-to-Date Through November 2, 2024 Compared to Year-to-Date Through October 28, 2023
Net Sales
Net Sales were $939.9 million during year-to-date 2024 and increased 4.9% compared to year-to-date 2023. The increase was primarily due to the acquisition of Rogan’s, which added Net Sales of $63.9 million, and new store growth in the Shoe Station banner, partially offset by a 3.2% decrease in comparable stores Net Sales. E-commerce sales were approximately 10% of merchandise sales in year-to-date 2024, compared to 9% in year-to-date 2023. Year-to-date 2024 e-commerce sales were favorably impacted by the relaunch of www.shoecarnival.com in third quarter 2023 and the launch of www.shoestation.com in first quarter 2023.
Gross Profit
Gross Profit was $337.1 million during year-to-date 2024, an increase of $15.4 million compared to year-to-date 2023. Gross profit margin was 35.9% in both year-to-date 2024 and year-to-date 2023. This consistency was driven by stable merchandise margins and stable BD&O as a percentage of Net Sales in year-to-date 2024 compared to year-to-date 2023.
Selling, General and Administrative Expenses
SG&A increased $11.9 million, or 4.8%, in year-to-date 2024 to $260.0 million compared to $248.1 million in year-to-date 2023. The increase was primarily due to higher compensation-related costs, including compensation costs related to Rogan’s, and other Rogan’s-related operating expenses in year-to-date 2024, partially offset by other lower selling costs at Shoe Carnival and Shoe Station stores. As a percentage of Net Sales, SG&A were 27.7% in both year-to-date 2024 and year-to-date 2023.
Interest Income and Interest Expense
Changes in our interest income and expense increased our income before taxes by $675,000 in year-to-date 2024 compared to year-to-date 2023. This increase was primarily due to higher interest earned on invested cash balances.
Income Taxes
The effective income tax rate for year-to-date 2024 was 25.5% compared to 23.0% for year-to-date 2023. The higher effective tax rate in year-to-date 2024 compared to year-to-date 2023 was due to the decrease in tax benefits from share-settled equity awards in year-to-date 2024 and a state deferred tax benefit and other discrete adjustments included in year-to-date 2023 that did not recur in Fiscal 2024.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Our primary sources of liquidity are $91.1 million of Cash, Cash Equivalents and Marketable Securities on hand at the end of third quarter 2024, cash generated from operations and availability under our $100 million Credit Agreement. We believe our resources will be sufficient to fund our cash needs, as they arise, for at least the next 12 months. Our primary uses of cash are normally for working capital, which are principally inventory purchases, investments in our stores, such as rebanners and new stores, remodels and relocations, distribution center initiatives, lease payments associated with our real estate leases, potential dividend payments, potential share
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repurchases under our share repurchase program and the financing of capital projects, including investments in new systems. As part of our growth strategy, we have also pursued strategic acquisitions of other footwear retailers.
Cash Flow - Operating Activities
Net cash generated from operating activities was $58.1 million in year-to-date 2024 compared to $69.4 million in year-to-date 2023. The change in operating cash flow was primarily driven by the timing of inventory and prepaid contracts payments.
Working capital increased on a year-over-year basis and totaled $391.3 million at November 2, 2024 compared to $340.6 million at October 28, 2023. The increase was primarily attributable to higher Merchandise Inventories and Accounts Receivable levels due to the acquisition of Rogan’s and a higher cash balance, partially offset by higher Accounts Payable. Our current ratio was 3.9 as of November 2, 2024 compared to 3.8 as of October 28, 2023.
Cash Flow – Investing Activities
Our cash outflows for investing activities are normally for capital expenditures. During year-to-date 2024 and 2023, we expended $24.8 million and $43.6 million, respectively, for the purchase of Property and Equipment, primarily related to store remodels and rebanners and opening four new Shoe Station stores.
Our Rogan’s acquisition in first quarter 2024 resulted in the payment of initial cash consideration of $44.4 million, net of cash acquired, during year-to-date 2024. Additional information regarding the Rogan’s acquisition, including information on the additional contingent consideration of up to $5.0 million, can be found in Note 2 — “Acquisition of Rogan Shoes” to our Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements contained in PART I, ITEM 1 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.
We invest in publicly traded mutual funds designed to mitigate income statement volatility associated with our non-qualified deferred compensation plan. The balance of these Marketable Securities was $13.9 million at November 2, 2024, compared to $12.2 million at February 3, 2024 and $11.2 million at October 28, 2023. Additional information can be found in Note 5 — “Fair Value Measurements” to our Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements contained in PART I, ITEM 1 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.
Cash Flow – Financing Activities
Our cash outflows for financing activities are typically for cash dividend payments, share repurchases or payments on our Credit Agreement. Shares of our common stock can be either acquired as part of a publicly announced repurchase program or withheld by us in connection with employee payroll tax withholding upon the vesting of stock-based compensation awards that are settled in shares. Our cash inflows from financing activities generally reflect stock issuances to employees under our Employee Stock Purchase Plan and borrowings under our Credit Agreement.
During year-to-date 2024, net cash used in financing activities was $11.6 million compared to $17.2 million during year-to-date 2023. The decrease in net cash used in financing activities was primarily due to the repurchase of $5.4 million of shares in year-to-date 2023 under our Board of Directors’ authorized share repurchase program compared to none in year-to-date 2024 and the decrease in shares surrendered by employees to pay taxes on stock-based compensation awards, partially offset by increased dividend payments.
Credit Agreement
On March 23, 2022, we entered into a $100 million Amended and Restated Credit Agreement (the “Credit Agreement”). The Credit Agreement is collateralized by our inventory, expires on March 23, 2027, and uses a Secured Overnight Financing Rate (“SOFR”) as quoted by The Federal Reserve Bank of New York as the basis for financing charges. Material covenants associated with the Credit Agreement require that we maintain a minimum net worth of $250 million and a consolidated interest coverage ratio of not less than 3.0 to 1.0. We were in compliance with these covenants as of November 2, 2024.
The Credit Agreement contains certain restrictions. However, as long as our consolidated EBITDA is positive and there are either no or low borrowings outstanding, we expect these restrictions would have no impact on our ability to pay cash dividends, execute share repurchases or facilitate acquisitions from cash on hand. The Credit Agreement stipulates that cash dividends and share repurchases of $15 million or less per fiscal year can be made without restriction as long as there is no default or event of default before and immediately after such distributions. We are also permitted to make acquisitions and pay cash dividends or repurchase shares in excess of $15 million in a fiscal year provided that (a) no default or event of default exists before and immediately after the transaction and (b) on a proforma basis, the ratio of (i) the sum of (A) our consolidated funded indebtedness plus (B) three times our consolidated rental expense to (ii) the sum of (A) our consolidated EBITDA plus (B) our consolidated rental expense is less than 3.5 to 1.0. Among other restrictions, the Credit Agreement also limits our ability to incur additional secured or unsecured debt to $20 million.
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The Credit Agreement bears interest, at our option, at (1) the agent bank’s base rate plus 0.0% to 1.0% or (2) Adjusted Term SOFR plus 0.9% to 1.9%, depending on our achievement of certain performance criteria. A commitment fee is charged at 0.2% to 0.3% per annum, depending on our achievement of certain performance criteria, on the unused portion of the lenders’ commitment. During year-to-date 2024, we did not borrow or repay funds under the Credit Agreement. Letters of credit outstanding were $1.0 million at November 2, 2024 and our borrowing capacity was $99.0 million.
The terms “net worth”, “consolidated interest coverage ratio”, “consolidated funded indebtedness”, “consolidated rental expense”, “consolidated EBITDA”, “base rate” and “Adjusted Term SOFR” are defined in the Credit Agreement.
See Note 9 – “Debt” in our Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements contained in PART II, ITEM 8 of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended February 3, 2024 for a further discussion of our Credit Agreement and its covenants.
Capital Expenditures
Capital expenditures for Fiscal 2024, including actual expenditures in year-to-date 2024, are expected to be between $30 million and $35 million, with approximately $20 million to $25 million to be used for new and rebannered stores and remodels and approximately $10 million to $15 million for upgrades to our Evansville distribution center and e-commerce sales channels, various other store improvements, continued investments in technology and normal asset replacement activities. The resources allocated to projects are subject to near-term changes depending on the supply chain and potential inflationary and other macroeconomic impacts. Furthermore, the actual amount of cash required for capital expenditures for store operations depends in part on the number of stores opened, rebannered, remodeled and relocated and the amount of lease incentives, if any, received from landlords. The number of new store openings and relocations will be dependent upon, among other things, the availability of desirable locations, the negotiation of acceptable lease terms and general economic and business conditions affecting consumer spending.
Store Portfolio
We opened four new Shoe Station branded stores, permanently closed one Shoe Carnival branded store and acquired 28 Rogan’s stores, which over time are being integrated into our Shoe Station banner, in year-to-date 2024. Increasing market penetration by adding new stores is a key component of our growth strategy. We currently have 431 stores and are targeting operating over 500 stores in 2028. We believe our current store footprint provides for growth in new markets within the United States as well as fill-in opportunities within existing markets. Since our acquisition of Shoe Station in December 2021, we have gained valuable insights about the Shoe Station customer base and have defined markets where we believe a Shoe Station bannered store may outperform our current Shoe Carnival bannered store located in those markets. The Company advanced its store rebanner growth strategy during third quarter 2024, with seven Shoe Carnival stores being rebannered to Shoe Station stores. Ten stores have now been rebannered. Through third quarter 2024, rebannered stores have outperformed expectations, and based on the successful results of the strategy to date, we plan to rebanner 25 additional Shoe Carnival stores to Shoe Station stores in the first half of Fiscal 2025. Future store growth may continue to be impacted by macroeconomic uncertainty, our ability to identify desirable locations and/or acquisition partners and increased focus on our emerging store rebanner strategy.
Dividends and Share Repurchases
On September 17, 2024, the Board of Directors approved the payment of a third quarter 2024 cash dividend paid to our shareholders. The quarterly cash dividend of $0.135 per share was paid on October 21, 2024 to shareholders of record as of the close of business on October 7, 2024. In third quarter 2023, the dividend paid was $0.120 per share. During year-to-date 2024 and 2023, we returned $11.0 million and $8.9 million, respectively, to our shareholders through our quarterly cash dividends. The declaration and payment of any future dividends are at the discretion of the Board of Directors and will depend on our results of operations, financial condition, business conditions and other factors deemed relevant by our Board of Directors.
On December 14, 2023, our Board of Directors authorized a share repurchase program for up to $50.0 million of our outstanding common stock, effective January 1, 2024 (the “2024 Share Repurchase Program”). The purchases may be made in the open market or through privately negotiated transactions from time-to-time through December 31, 2024 and in accordance with applicable laws, rules and regulations. The 2024 Share Repurchase Program may be amended, suspended, or discontinued at any time and does not commit us to repurchase shares of our common stock. We have funded, and intend to continue to fund, share repurchases from cash on hand, and any shares acquired will be available for stock-based compensation awards and other corporate purposes. The actual number and value of the shares to be purchased will depend on the performance of our stock price and other market and economic factors.
No share repurchases have been made to date in Fiscal 2024. During year-to-date 2023, we repurchased 230,696 shares of common stock at a total cost of $5.4 million.
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Our Credit Agreement permits the payment of dividends and repurchase of shares, subject to certain covenants and restrictions. See “Credit Agreement” above and Note 9 — “Debt” to our Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements contained in PART II, ITEM 8 of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended February 3, 2024 for a further discussion of the Credit Agreement, its covenants and restrictions regarding dividends and share repurchases and other matters. The Credit Agreement’s covenants and restrictions did not change during year-to-date 2024.
Seasonality
We have three distinct peak selling periods: Easter, back-to-school and Christmas. Our operating results depend significantly upon the sales generated during these periods. To prepare for our peak shopping seasons, we must order and keep in stock significantly more merchandise than we would carry during other periods of the year. Any unanticipated decrease in demand for our products or a supply chain disruption that reduces inventory availability during these peak shopping seasons could reduce our Net Sales and Gross Profit and negatively affect our profitability.
Recent Accounting Pronouncements
See Note 4 — “Recently Issued Accounting Pronouncements” to our Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements contained in PART I, ITEM 1 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for a description of recent accounting pronouncements that may have an impact on our condensed consolidated financial statements when adopted.
ITEM 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATI VE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK
We are exposed to market risk in that the interest payable under the Credit Agreement is based on variable interest rates and therefore is affected by changes in market rates. We do not use interest rate derivative instruments to manage exposure to changes in market interest rates. We had no borrowings outstanding during year-to-date 2024.
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