Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
ITEM 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK
Market risk is the risk of loss arising from adverse changes in the fair value of financial instruments due to changes in interest rates, foreign exchange rates and equity prices. The primary source of market risk for the Company is interest rate risk. Interest rate risk is the risk to earnings and the value of the Company’s equity resulting from changes in market interest rates and arises in the normal course of business to the extent that there are timing and volume differences between the amount of interest-earning assets and the amount of interest-bearing liabilities that are prepaid, withdrawn, re-priced or mature in specified periods. The Company seeks to achieve consistent growth in net interest income and equity while managing volatility arising from shifts in market interest rates.
The Company monitors its interest rate risk position using income simulation models and economic value of equity (“EVE”) sensitivity analysis that capture both short-term and long-term interest rate risk exposure. Income simulation involves forecasting net interest income (“NII”) under a variety of interest rate scenarios. The Company uses EVE sensitivity analysis to understand the impact of changes in interest rates on long-term cash flows, income and capital. EVE is calculated by discounting the cash flows for all balance sheet instruments under different interest-rate scenarios. Modeling the sensitivity of NII and EVE to changes in market interest rates is highly dependent on the assumptions incorporated into the modeling process. The Company continually reviews and refines the assumptions used in its interest rate risk modeling.
Presented below is the estimated impact on the Company’s NII and EVE position as of March 31, 2021, assuming parallel shifts in interest rates and a static balance sheet:
% Change from Base Case for Parallel Changes in Rates
-50 Basis Points -25 Basis Points +100 Basis Points +200 Basis Points
NII - Year 1 (1.62) % (0.24) % (1.79) % (5.69) %
NII - Year 2 8.29 % 10.22 % 8.37 % 2.75 %
EVE 1.55 % 0.96 % (4.81) % (12.45) %
The Company’s objective is to manage the balance sheet with a “risk-neutral” position. A “risk-neutral” position refers to the absence of a strong bias toward either asset or liability sensitivity. An “asset sensitive” position refers to when the characteristics of the balance sheet are expected to generate higher NII when interest rates increase as rates earned on interest-earning assets would reprice upward more quickly or in greater quantities than rates paid on interest-bearing liabilities. A “liability sensitive” position refers to when the characteristics of the balance sheet are expected to generate higher NII when interest rates decrease as rates paid on interest-bearing liabilities would reprice downward more quickly or in greater quantities than rates earned on interest-earning assets.
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