Item 1A. Risk Factors
ITEM 1A: RISK FACTORS
Other than as noted below, there have been no material changes from the risk factors previously disclosed in response to “Part I - Item 1A. Risk Factors” of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2019, as amended by Amendment No. 1 to the Annual Report on Form 10-K, filed on March 6, 2020.
Risks Related to COVID-19
The current outbreak of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19), and the resulting volatility it has created, has disrupted our business and we expect that the COVID-19 pandemic, will significantly and adversely impact our business, financial condition and results of operations going forward, and that other potential pandemics or outbreaks, could materially adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows in the future. Further, the spread of the COVID-19 outbreak has caused severe disruptions in the U.S. and global economy and financial markets and could potentially create widespread business continuity issues of an unknown magnitude and duration.
Since being reported in December 2019, COVID-19 has spread globally, including to every state in the United States. On March 11, 2020, the World Health Organization declared COVID-19 a pandemic, and on March 13, 2020, the United States declared a national emergency with respect to COVID-19.
The COVID-19 pandemic has had, and COVID-19 and any future pandemic will continue to have repercussions across regional and global economies and financial markets. The global impact of the outbreak has been rapidly evolving and many countries, including the United States (including the states and cities that comprise the Washington metro region, where we own properties and have development sites), have also instituted quarantines, "shelter in place" rules, and restrictions on travel, the types of business that may continue to operate, and/or the types of construction projects that may continue. As a result, the COVID-19 pandemic is negatively impacting almost every industry, both inside and outside the Washington metro region, directly or indirectly. Since the beginning of the pandemic, a number of our commercial tenants have announced temporary closures of their offices or stores and requested rent deferral or rent abatement. In addition, jurisdictions in the Washington metro region have implemented or may implement rent freezes or other similar restrictions. The full extent of the impacts on our business are largely uncertain and dependent on a number of factors beyond our control, including a potential increase in the number of cases in the Washington metro region, as a result of the upcoming flu season or otherwise.
The COVID-19 outbreak has caused and continues to cause severe disruptions in the U.S. and global economy and financial markets and could potentially create widespread business continuity issues of an as yet unknown magnitude and duration. COVID-19 has disrupted our business and is expected to continue to have a significant adverse effect on our business, financial performance and condition, operating results and cash flows due to, among other factors:
• a decrease in real estate rental revenue (our primary source of operating cash flow), as a result of temporary rent freezes impacting new and renewal rental rates on multifamily properties, longer lease-up periods for both anticipated and unanticipated vacancies, including as a result of a shift from physical to virtual tours, lower revenue recognized as a result of waiving late fees and a reduction in parking revenue, as well as our tenants’ ability and willingness to pay rent, our ability to continue to collect rents, on a timely basis or at all (for example, 3% of cash rents in our office portfolio, 12% of cash rents in our retail portfolio and 1% of cash rents in our multifamily portfolio were uncollected during the 2020 Quarter, as of October 20, 2020), and increased credit losses;
• a complete or partial closure of one or more of our properties resulting from government or tenant action (as of October 28, 2020, all of our commercial properties are operating on a limited basis pursuant to local government orders, except for essential businesses);
• reductions in demand for commercial space in the Washington, D.C. metropolitan area and the inability to provide physical tours of either our commercial and multifamily spaces may result in our inability to renew leases, re-lease space as leases expire, or lease vacant space, particularly without concessions, or a decline in rental rates on new leases, particularly at our retail assets (approximately 2% of our office leases and 2% of our other leases are scheduled to expire in 2020);
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• the inability of one or more major tenants to pay rent, or the bankruptcy or insolvency of one or more major tenants, due to a downturn in its business or a weakening of its financial condition related to the pandemic;
• the inability to decrease certain fixed expenses at our properties despite decreased operations at such properties;
• the inability of our third-party service providers to adequately perform their property management and/or leasing activities at our properties due to decreased on-site staff;
• difficulty accessing debt and equity capital on attractive terms, or at all, and a severe disruption and instability in the global financial markets or deterioration in credit and financing conditions, which may affect our access to capital and our commercial tenants' ability to fund their business operations and meet their obligations to us;
• the financial impact of the COVID-19 pandemic could negatively impact our future compliance with financial covenants of debt agreements;
• a decline in the market value of real estate in the Washington, D.C. region may result in the carrying value of certain real estate assets exceeding their fair value, which may require us to recognize an impairment to those assets;
• future delays in the supply of products, services or liquidity may negatively impact our ability to complete the development, redevelopment, renovations and lease-up of our buildings on schedule or for their original estimated cost;
• loss of cash balances that we periodically invest in a variety of short-term investments in order to preserve principal and maintain a high degree of liquidity while providing current income could result in a lower level of liquidity ;
• a general decline in business activity and demand for real estate transactions could adversely affect our ability or desire to grow or change the complexion of our portfolio of properties;
• our insurance may not cover loss of revenue or other expenses resulting from the pandemic and related shelter-in-place rules;
• unanticipated costs and operating expenses and decreased anticipated revenue related to compliance with regulations, such as additional expenses related to staff working remotely, requirements to provide employees with additional mandatory paid time off and increased expenses related to sanitation measures performed at each of our properties, as well as additional expenses incurred to protect the welfare of our employees, such as expanded access to health services;
• the potential for one or more members of our senior management team to become sick with COVID-19 and the loss of such services could adversely affect our business
• the increased vulnerability to cyber-attacks or cyber intrusions while employees are working remotely has the potential to disrupt our operations or cause material harm to our financial condition; and
• complying with REIT requirements during a period of reduced cash flow could cause us to liquidate otherwise attractive investments or borrow funds on unfavorable conditions.
The significance, extent and duration of the impact of COVID-19 remains largely uncertain and dependent on future developments that cannot be accurately predicted at this time, such as a potential increase in cases in the Washington metro region, the continued severity, duration, transmission rate and geographic spread of COVID-19, the extent and effectiveness of the containment measures taken, and the response of the overall economy, the financial markets and the population, particularly in the Washington metro region, once the current containment measures are lifted.
The rapid development and volatility of this situation precludes us from making any prediction as to the ultimate adverse impact of COVID-19. As a result, we cannot provide an estimate of the overall impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on our business or when, or if, we will be able to resume normal operations. Nevertheless, COVID-19 presents material uncertainty and risk with respect to our business, financial performance and condition, operating results and cash flows.
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ITEM 2: UNREGISTERED SALES OF EQUITY SECURITIES AND USE OF PROCEEDS
None.
ITEM 3: DEFAULTS UPON SENIOR SECURITIES
None.
ITEM 4: MINE SAFETY DISCLOSURES
None.
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