Item 1A. Risk Factors
ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS.
There have been no material changes to the risk factors we previously disclosed in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024 that was filed with the SEC on January 30, 2025, other than the revised risk factors below:
We are subject to demand fluctuations in the housing market and homebuilding industry. Declines in demand for our homes or in the homebuilding industry have, and may continue to, materially and adversely affect our business, results of operations, and financial condition.
Demand for our homes is subject to fluctuations, often due to factors outside of our control. These factors may include interest rates and Federal Reserve policy changes; inflation; consumer confidence and spending, which declined significantly beginning in the first quarter of 2025; employment levels; uncertainty and recent declines in financial, credit and consumer lending markets; slow economic growth or recessionary conditions in various regions or industries around the world; availability of financing for homebuyers; tight lending standards and practices for mortgage loans that limit consumers’ ability to qualify for mortgage financing to purchase a home, including increased minimum credit score requirements, credit risk/mortgage loan insurance premiums and/or other fees and required down payment amounts, higher home prices, more conservative appraisals, changing consumer preferences, higher loan-to-value ratios and extensive buyer income and asset documentation requirements; changes to mortgage regulations; availability and prices of new homes compared to existing inventory; demographic trends, including slower rates of population growth or population decline in our markets; the effect of pandemics; and other factors, including those described elsewhere in this report and our other SEC filings. Declines in consumer confidence and spending, market fluctuations and the increased likelihood of recessionary conditions contributed to reduced demand for our homes in the first six months of 2025 compared to the prior year period, which adversely affected our results of operations for the first six months of 2025. If there is limited economic growth, declines in employment and consumer income, changes in consumer behavior, and/or tightening of mortgage lending standards, practices and regulation in the geographic areas in which we operate, or if interest rates for mortgage loans or home prices rise, there could likely be additional corresponding adverse effects on our business, prospects, liquidity, financial condition and results of operations, including, but not limited to, the number of homes we sell, our average sales price per home closed, cancellations of home purchase contracts, and the amount of revenues or profits we generate, and such effect may be material. In a housing market downturn when demand for our homes decreases, our revenues and results of operations are typically adversely affected; we may have significant inventory impairments and other write-offs; our gross margins may decline significantly from historical levels; and we may incur substantial losses from operations. During the first six months of 2025, we incurred inventory impairment charges of $7.8 million. At any particular time, we cannot accurately predict whether housing market conditions will improve, deteriorate or continue as they exist at that time.
Adverse changes in general economic conditions have reduced and may continue to reduce the demand for our homes and, as a result, have had and may continue to have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.
The residential homebuilding industry is cyclical and is highly sensitive to changes in local and general economic conditions that are outside our control, including:
consumer confidence, employment levels, job growth, spending levels, wage and personal income growth, personal indebtedness levels, and household debt-to-income levels of potential homebuyers;
the availability and cost of financing for homebuyers or restrictive mortgage standards, including private and federal mortgage financing programs and federal, state, and provincial regulation of lending practices;
real estate taxes and federal and state income tax provisions, including provisions for the deduction of mortgage interest payments;
U.S. and global financial system and credit markets, including short- and long-term interest rates and inflation, and any effects from a potential U.S. government shutdown or sovereign default;
housing demand from population growth, household formations, new home buying catalysts (such as marriage and children), second home buying catalysts (such as retirement), home sale catalysts (such as an aging population), demographic changes (including immigration levels and trends in urban and suburban migration), generational shifts, or otherwise, or perceptions regarding the strength of the housing market, and home price appreciation and depreciation resulting therefrom;
competition from other real estate investors with significant capital, including other real estate operating companies and developers, institutional investment funds, and companies solely focused on single-family rentals; and
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the supply of new or existing homes, including foreclosures, and other housing alternatives, such as apartments and other residential rental property, and the aging of existing housing inventory.
These factors have resulted in the past and in the future could result in a decline in the demand for our homes, as well as a decline in the pricing for our homes, an increase in customer cancellations, an increase in selling concessions, and downward pressure on the market value of our inventory, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, prospects, liquidity, financial condition and results of operations and increase the risk for asset impairments. In the first six months of 2025, uncertainty resulting in part from the announcement, imposition and/or repeal of tariffs on U.S. trade partners caused declines in consumer confidence and spending, market fluctuations and the increased likelihood of recessionary conditions. This resulted in a decline in the demand for our homes during first six months of 2025 compared to the prior year period. If these conditions persist, there may be a sustained downturn in the homebuilding market, which would likely have an adverse effect on our business and results of operations for multiple years.
In addition, the portion of our customer base that consists of first- and second-time move-up buyers often purchase homes subject to contingencies related to the sale and/or closing of their existing homes. If these potential buyers face difficulties in selling or closing their homes, whether due to rising interest rates for mortgage loans, periods of weak or uncertain economic conditions, oversupply, restrictive mortgage standards or otherwise, our sales may be adversely affected. Moreover, we may need to reduce our sales prices, possibly in instances where appraised values of our homes are lower than our sales price, and offer greater incentives to buyers to compete for sales that may result in reduced margins. Also, because we have increased our supply of quick move-in (or “spec”) homes relative to our built-to-order homes, adverse changes in economic conditions could cause us to reduce prices more rapidly to avoid carrying large amounts of finished inventory. This, in turn, could adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.
Global economic and political instability and conflicts could adversely affect our business, financial condition or results of operations.
A global economic slowdown, inflation, rising interest rates and the possibility of a future recession, as well disruptions in access to bank deposits or lending commitments due to bank failure, could materially and adversely affect our liquidity, our business, financial condition and results of operations. The failure of any bank with which we do business could reduce the amount of cash we have available for our operations or delay our ability to access such funds. Any such failure may increase the possibility of a sustained deterioration of financial market liquidity, or illiquidity at clearing, cash management and/or custodial financial institutions. In the event we have a commercial relationship with a bank that has failed or is otherwise distressed, we may experience delays or other issues in meeting our financial obligations. If other banks and financial institutions enter receivership or become insolvent in the future in response to financial conditions affecting the banking system and financial markets, our ability to access our cash and cash equivalents and investments may be threatened and could have a material adverse effect on our business and financial condition.
Additionally, our business could be adversely affected by unstable economic and political conditions as well as geopolitical conflicts. While we do not have any customer or direct supplier relationships in foreign countries experiencing war, military conflicts, sanctions, or export controls, other actions that may be initiated by nations (e.g., the recent imposition and repeal of tariffs, potential cyber attacks, disruption of energy flows, etc.) and other potential uncertainties could adversely affect our supply chain by causing shortages or increases in costs for materials necessary to construct homes, as described elsewhere in these risk factors, and/or increases to the price of gasoline and other fuels. In addition, such events could cause higher interest rates, inflation or general economic and geopolitical uncertainty, including the recent economic uncertainty and volatility resulting from the imposition and repeal of tariffs, any of which could negatively impact our business partners, employees or customers, or otherwise adversely impact our business. Furthermore, deployments of U.S. military personnel to foreign regions, terrorist attacks, other acts of violence or threats to national security and any corresponding response by the United States or others, related domestic or international instability or civil unrest may cause an economic slowdown in the markets where we operate, which could adversely affect our business.
Any increase in unemployment or underemployment may lead to reduced demand for our homes and an increase in the number of loan delinquencies and property repossessions and have an adverse impact on our business and results of operations.
In the United States, the unemployment rate was 4.1% as of the end of June 2025, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Recessionary conditions may cause this rate to increase. People who are not employed, are underemployed, or are concerned about the loss of their jobs are less likely to purchase new homes, may be forced to try to sell the homes they own, and may face difficulties in making required mortgage payments. Therefore, an increase in unemployment or underemployment may lead to an increase in the number of loan delinquencies and property repossessions and have an adverse impact on our business by both reducing the demand for the homes we build and increasing the supply of homes for sale, which would also likely adversely affect our Financial Services business, which is dependent upon the sale of our homes. In addition, an increase in unemployment or underemployment may result in increased default rates on mortgage loans we originated, which could expose us to repurchase obligations or other liabilities, reduce our ability to sell or finance the loans we originate or require us to sell or finance the loans we originate on less favorable terms, lead us to impose stricter loan qualification standards, or result in us no longer being able to offer financing terms that are attractive to potential buyers, all of which would adversely affect our Financial Services business.
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Inflation has adversely affected and could continue to adversely affect our business and financial results, especially since we may not be able to raise home prices sufficiently to offset increased prices.
Although inflation eased somewhat in 2024, high inflation has adversely affected us in recent years by increasing the costs of land, materials and labor needed to operate our business and could continue to adversely affect us in future periods. The announcements and implementation of widespread tariffs by the current U.S. Presidential Administration and retaliatory tariffs imposed in response thereto could result in an inflationary environment having similar adverse effects. In the event inflation increases again, we may seek to increase the sales prices of homes in order to maintain satisfactory margins. However, an oversupply of homes relative to demand and home prices being set several months before homes are delivered and affordability concerns may make any such increase difficult or impossible in future periods. In addition, inflation is often accompanied by higher interest rates, which historically negatively impact housing demand. While we historically have been able to pass along price increases to our consumers to help offset price increases, we may not be able to continue to do so, thereby adversely impacting our margins. Moreover, the cost of capital typically increases as a result of inflation and the purchasing power of our cash resources typically declines. Future actions by the government to stimulate the economy may further increase the risk of inflation, which may have an adverse impact on our business or financial results.
Tariffs and duties that have been and may be enacted into law could adversely affect our business and financial results, especially since we may not be able to raise home prices sufficiently to offset increased prices caused by any such trade regulations.
The current U.S. Presidential Administration has implemented and/or may potentially implement additional tariffs and/or duties on several countries and territories. Any additional tariffs or duties would likely increase the cost of materials utilized for the construction of our homes. As noted above with respect to the impact of inflation, while we historically have been able to pass along price increases to our consumers to help offset price increases we incur, we may not be able to continue to do so depending on the significance of cost increases, thereby adversely impacting our margins as a result of any tariffs and duties imposed on our operations. More broadly, adverse effects such trade regulations may have on U.S. national or regional economies could adversely affect our business and operating and financial results.
Raw materials and building supply shortages and price fluctuations could delay or increase the cost of home construction and adversely affect our operating results.
The homebuilding industry, from time to time, has experienced and will likely continue to experience raw material shortages and has been adversely affected by volatility in global commodity prices and government imposed tariffs and other trade regulations, including those described elsewhere in these risk factors. Shortages and fluctuations in the price of concrete, drywall, steel, lumber or other important raw materials in the past have resulted, and in the future could result, in delays in the start or completion of, or increase the cost of, developing one or more of our residential communities. These shortages can be more severe during periods of strong demand for housing or during periods following natural disasters that have a significant impact on existing residential and commercial structures. The cost of raw materials also in the past has been, and in the future may be, materially and adversely affected during periods of shortages or high inflation or as a result of trade regulations, such as the recent imposition of increased tariffs. These shortages have caused, and in the future may cause, construction delays, and increases in our costs of home construction.
Shortages or increases in the price of raw materials could cause delays in and increase our costs of home construction. We generally are unable to pass on increases in construction costs to customers who have already entered into home purchase contracts and may not be able to sufficiently increase the price of homes remaining to be sold due to affordability concerns or otherwise. Sustained increases in construction costs may continue to adversely affect our gross margins, which in turn could materially and adversely affect our business, liquidity, financial condition and results of operations.
The cost of petroleum products, which are used both to deliver our materials and to transport workers to our job sites, fluctuates and may be subject to increased volatility as a result of geopolitical events or accidents. Increases in such costs could also result in higher prices for any product utilizing petrochemicals. Persistent cost increases may have an even greater adverse effect on our operating margins and results of operations. Furthermore, any such cost increase may adversely affect the regional economies in which we operate and reduce demand for our homes.
Our Financial Services segment can be adversely affected by reduced demand for our homes.
Nearly all of the mortgage loans closed by our Financial Services segment in 2024 were made to buyers of homes we built. Therefore, a decrease in the demand for our homes adversely affects the revenues of this segment of our business. In the first six months of 2025, economic uncertainty, as described elsewhere in these risk factors, contributed to reduced demand for our homes compared to the prior period, which adversely affected our revenues and our Financial Services segment. Future demand for our homes is uncertain and dependent upon interest rates for mortgage loans, consumer confidence, availability of credit, economic conditions and other factors, including those described elsewhere in this report, and it is possible that demand for our homes may decrease further in 2025 if current economic conditions persist or worsen.
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Text extracted from the filing as submitted to EDGAR. Formatting, tables and exhibits are simplified for reading; the original document is authoritative for anything you rely on.