Item 1A. Risk Factors
ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS
The following discusses risk factors that could affect our business, operations and financial condition. If any of these risks, as well as other risks and uncertainties that we have not yet identified or that we currently believe are not material, become realized, we could be materially adversely affected and the value of our securities could decline. In addition, the following risk factors may contain “forward looking statements” and should be read in conjunction with Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial condition and Results of Operations, and the financial statements and related notes in this Annual Report on Form 10-K. All investors should carefully consider the following risk factors in conjunction with the other information in this report before trading our securities.
FACTORS AFFECTING THE INDUSTRY
Our operating performance is subject to risks associated with the real estate industry.
Real estate investments are subject to various risks, fluctuations and cycles in value and demand, many of which are beyond our control. These events include, but are not limited to:
• adverse changes in international, national or local economic conditions;
• inability to rent space on favorable terms, including possible market pressures to offer tenants rent abatements, tenant
improvements, early termination rights or below-market renewal options;
• adverse changes in financial conditions of actual or potential investors, buyers, sellers or tenants;
• inability to collect rent from tenants;
• competition from other real estate investors, including other real estate operating companies, publicly-traded REITs and institutional investment funds;
• reduced tenant demand for office space and residential units from matters such as: (i) trends in space utilization, (ii) changes in the relative popularity of our properties, (iii) the type of space we lease, (iv) purchasing versus leasing, (v) increasing crime or homelessness in our submarkets or (vi) economic recessions;
• increases in the supply of office space and residential units;
• fluctuations in interest rates and the availability of credit, which could adversely affect our ability to obtain financing on favorable terms or at all;
• increases in operating costs, including: (i) insurance costs, (ii) labor costs, (iii) energy prices, (iv) property taxes, and (v) costs of compliance with laws, regulations and governmental policies;
• utility disruptions;
• changes in, and changes in enforcement of, laws, regulations and governmental policies, including, without limitation, health, safety, environmental, zoning and tax laws, governmental fiscal policies and the ADA;
• difficulty in operating properties effectively;
• acquiring undesirable properties; and
• inability to dispose of properties at appropriate times or at favorable prices.
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We may not be able to compete successfully with other entities that operate in our industry.
We experience a great deal of competition in attracting tenants for the properties and in locating land to develop and properties to acquire.
In our effort to lease properties, we compete for tenants with a broad spectrum of other landlords in each of the markets. These competitors include, among others, publicly-held REITs, privately-held entities, individual property owners and tenants who wish to sublease their space. Some of these competitors may be able to offer prospective tenants more attractive financial terms than we are able to offer.
Real estate investments are illiquid, and we may not be able to sell properties if and when it is appropriate to do so.
Real estate generally cannot be sold quickly. We may not be able to dispose of properties promptly in response to economic or other conditions. In addition, provisions of the Internal Revenue Code may limit our ability to sell properties (without incurring significant tax costs) in some situations when it may be otherwise economically advantageous to do so, thereby adversely affecting returns to stockholders and adversely impacting our ability to meet our obligations.
Our business may be impacted as a result of any health emergency.
Considerable uncertainty still surrounds the recent Covid-19 pandemic, including its conclusion, the availability of and effectiveness of vaccines, the potential short-term and long term effects, including but not limited to shifts in consumer housing demand based on geography, affordability, housing type (e.g., multi-family vs. single family) and unit type (e.g., office studio vs. multi-bedroom), mainly resulting from the paradigm shift of work culture, the decentralization of corporate headquarters and the success of “work from home” models. Moreover, local, state and national measures taken to limit the spread of the recent pandemic have already resulted in significant economic impacts and mortality rates, the duration and scope of which cannot currently be predicted. The extent to which our financial condition or operating results will be effected in the future by any future pandemic will largely depend on future demand and developments, which are highly uncertain and cannot be accurately predicted with any degree of accuracy.
We face risks associated with and have been the target of security breaches through cyber attacks, cyber intrusions or otherwise, as well as other significant disruptions of our information technology (IT) networks and related systems.
The phenomenon of cyber-attacks in general, and cyber-attacks against databases in particular, have become a risk to all companies. We are exposed to cyber-attacks, which may, depending on their success and strength, damage the privacy of the information stored in the databases as well as cause equipment failures, loss, discovery, use, corruption, destruction or appropriation of information, content and valuable technical information. In recent years, cyber-attacks against companies have increased in frequency, scope and potential damage. Malicious damage (such as the introduction of viruses and cyber-attacks) or a large-scale malfunction may adversely affect our business and results, including damage to our reputation, and our financial condition.
FACTORS AFFECTING OUR ASSETS
Adverse events concerning our existing tenants or negative market conditions affecting our existing tenants could have an adverse impact on our ability to attract new tenants, release space, collect rent or renew leases, and thus could adversely affect cash flow from operations and inhibit growth.
Our cash flow from operations depends in part on the ability to lease space to tenants on economically favorable terms. We could be adversely affected by various facts and events over which we have limited or no control, such as:
• lack of demand for space in areas where the properties are located;
• inability to retain existing tenants and attract new tenants;
• oversupply of or reduced demand for space and changes in market rental rates;
• defaults by tenants or failure to pay rent on a timely basis;
• the need to periodically renovate and repair marketable space;
• physical damage to properties;
• economic or physical decline of the areas where properties are located; and
• potential risk of functional obsolescence of properties over time.
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If tenants do not renew their leases as they expire, we may not be able to rent the space. Furthermore, leases that are renewed, and some new leases for space that is re-let, may have terms that are less economically favorable than expiring lease terms, or may require us to incur significant costs, such as renovations, tenant improvements or lease transaction costs. Any of these events could adversely affect cash flow from operations and our ability to make distributions to shareholders and service indebtedness. A significant portion of the costs of owning property, such as real estate taxes, insurance, and debt service payments, are not necessarily reduced or able to be recouped when circumstances cause a decrease in rental income from the properties.
Our reliance on third-party management companies to operate certain of our properties may harm our business.
We rely on third party property managers to manage the daily operations of our properties. These management companies are directly responsible for the day-to-day operation of our properties with limited supervision by us, and they often have potentially significant decision-making authority with respect to those properties. Thus, the success of our business may depend in large part on the ability of our third-party property managers to manage the day-to-day operations, and any adversity experienced by our property managers could adversely impact the operation and profitability of our properties.
These third parties may fail to manage our properties effectively or in accordance with their agreements with us, may be negligent in their performance and may engage in criminal or fraudulent activity. If any of these events occur, we could incur losses or face liabilities from the loss or injury to our property or to persons at our properties. In addition, disputes may arise between us and these third-party managers and operators, and we may incur significant expenses to resolve those disputes or terminate the relevant agreement with these third parties and locate and engage competent and cost-effective service providers to operate and manage the relevant properties, which in turn could adversely affect us, including damage to our relationships with such franchisers or we may be in breach of our management agreement.
We may experience increased operating costs which could adversely affect our financial results and the value of our properties.
Our properties are subject to increases in operating expenses such as insurance, cleaning, maintenance, electricity, heating, ventilation and air conditioning, administrative costs and other costs associated with security, landscaping, repairs, and maintenance of the properties. While some current tenants are obligated by their leases to reimburse us for a portion of these costs, there is no assurance that these tenants will make such payments or agree to pay these costs upon renewal or new tenants will agree to pay these costs. If operating expenses increase in our markets, we may not be able to increase rents or reimbursements in all of these markets to offset the increased expenses, without at the same time decreasing occupancy rates. If this occurs, our ability to make distributions to shareholders and service indebtedness could be adversely affected.
Our ability to achieve growth in operating income depends in part on its ability to develop additional properties or acquire and redevelop or renovate existing properties.
We intend to continue to develop properties where warranted by market conditions. We have a number of ongoing development and land projects being readied for commencement. Additionally, general construction and development activities include the following risks:
• construction and leasing of a property may not be completed on schedule, which could result in increased expenses and construction costs, and would result in reduced profitability for that property;
• construction costs may exceed original estimates due to increases in interest rates and increased cost of materials, labor or other costs, possibly making the property less profitable because of inability to increase rents to compensate for the increase in construction costs;
• some developments may fail to achieve expectations, possibly making them less profitable;
• we may be unable to obtain, or face delays in obtaining, required zoning, land-use, building, occupancy, and other governmental permits and authorizations, which could result in increased costs and could require us to abandon our activities entirely with respect to a project;
• we may abandon development opportunities after the initial exploration, which may result in failure to recover costs already incurred. If we determine to alter or discontinue its development efforts, future costs of the investment may be expensed as incurred rather than capitalized and we may determine the investment is impaired resulting in a loss;
• we may expend funds on and devote management’s time to projects which will not be completed; and
• occupancy rates and rents at newly-completed properties may fluctuate depending on various factors including market and economic conditions, and may result in lower than projected rental rates and reduced income from operations.
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We face risks associated with property acquisitions.
We have acquired individual properties and various portfolios of properties in the past and intend to continue to do so. Acquisition activities are subject to the following risks:
• when we are able to locate a desired property, competition from other real estate investors may significantly increase the seller’s offering price;
• acquired properties may fail to perform as expected;
• the actual costs of repositioning or redeveloping acquired properties may be higher than original estimates;
• acquired properties may be located in new markets where we face risks associated with an incomplete knowledge or understanding of the local market, a limited number of established business relationships in the area and a relative unfamiliarity with local governmental and permitting procedures; and
• we may be unable to quickly and efficiently integrate new acquisitions, particularly acquisitions of portfolios of properties, into existing operations, and results of operations and financial condition could be adversely affected.
We may acquire properties subject to liabilities and without any recourse, or with limited recourse, with respect to unknown liabilities. However, if an unknown liability was later asserted against the acquired properties, we might be required to pay substantial sums to settle it, which could adversely affect cash flow.
We engage in development and redevelopment activities with respect to certain of our properties. To the extent that we do so, we are subject to certain risks, including the following:
• we may not complete a development or redevelopment project on schedule or within budgeted amounts (as a result of risks beyond our control, such as weather, labor conditions, permitting issues, material shortages and price increases);
• we may be unable to lease the developed or redeveloped properties at budgeted rental rates or lease up the property within budgeted time frames;
• we may devote time and expend funds on development or redevelopment of properties that we may not complete;
• we may encounter delays or refusals in obtaining all necessary zoning, land use, and other required entitlements, and building, occupancy and other required governmental permits and authorizations, and our costs to comply with the conditions imposed by such permits and authorizations could increase;
• we may encounter delays, refusals and unforeseen cost increases resulting from third-party litigation or objections; and
• we may fail to obtain the financial results expected from properties we develop or redevelop.
Many of our properties are concentrated in our primary markets and we may suffer economic harm as a result of adverse conditions in those markets.
Our properties are located principally in specific geographic areas in the Southern United States. Our overall performance is largely dependent on economic conditions in this region.
We are leveraged and may not be able to meet our debt service obligations.
We had total indebtedness at December 31, 2024 of approximately $185.4 million. Substantially all of our multifamily real estate has been pledged to secure debt. These borrowings increase the risk of loss because they represent a prior claim on assets and most require fixed payments regardless of profitability. Our leveraged position makes us vulnerable to declines in the general economy and may limit our ability to pursue other business opportunities in the future.
A significant portion of our debt is insured with HUD
As of December 31, 2024, we had $126.3 million in mortgage notes payable insured by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development ("HUD"), which represented 68% of our total indebtedness. HUD insured loans allow Lenders to extend loans at a relatively low interest rate for terms of up to 40 years for properties under new construction, or up to 35 years for acquisition or refinancing of existing properties. In return for lower interest rates and favorable terms, HUD loans involve extensive regulatory compliance.
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While we hope to continue utilizing HUD insured loans in the future, should we not be able to access such loans, or should HUD cease to permit us to access or assume HUD insured debt, we would likely incur significantly increased interest costs and shorter term conventional loans (assuming we are able to obtain conventional loans) and possibly will need to utilize funds from disposal of investments or other properties to finance such activities.
An increase in interest rates would increase interest costs on variable rate debt and could adversely impact the ability to refinance existing debt.
We currently have, and may incur more, indebtedness that bears interest at variable rates. Accordingly, if interest rates increase, so will the interest costs, which could adversely affect cash flow and the ability to pay principal and interest on our debt and the ability to make distributions to shareholders. Further, rising interest rates could limit our ability to refinance existing debt when it matures.
Unbudgeted capital expenditures or cost overruns could adversely affect business operations and cash flow.
If capital expenditures for ongoing or planned development projects or renovations exceed expectations, the additional cost of these expenditures could have an adverse effect on business operations and cash flow. In addition, we might not have access to funds on a timely basis to pay for the unexpected expenditures.
Properties may need to be sold from time to time for cash flow purposes.
Because of the lack of liquidity of real estate investments generally, our ability to respond to changing circumstances may be limited. Real estate investments generally cannot be sold quickly. In the event that we must sell assets to generate cash flow, we cannot predict whether there will be a market for those assets in the time period desired, or whether we will be able to sell the assets at a price that will allow us to fully recoup its investment. We may not be able to realize the full potential value of the assets and may incur costs related to the early extinguishment of the debt secured by such assets.
Ownership through partnerships and joint ventures could limit property performance.
We have in the past, and may in the future, develop and/or acquire properties in partnerships and similar joint ventures, including those in which we may own a preferred interest, when we believe circumstances warrant this type of investment. Our organizational documents do not limit the amount of available funds that we can invest in partnerships or other joint venture structures. As of December 31, 2024, we had no active joint ventures with any investment funds at risk. Investments in partnerships and joint ventures, including limited liability companies, involve risks such as the following:
• Our partners could become bankrupt, in which event we and any other remaining partners would generally remain liable for the liabilities of the venture;
• Our partners could have economic or other business interests or goals which are inconsistent with our business objectives;
• Our partners could be in a position to take action contrary to our instructions, requests or objectives, including our policies involving development of properties; and
• Governing agreements in partnerships and joint ventures often contain restrictions on the transfer of an interest or “by-sell” or other provisions which could result in the purchase or sale of the interest at a disadvantageous time or on disadvantageous terms.
We generally will seek to maintain sufficient control of partnerships or joint ventures to permit us to achieve our business objectives; however, in the event it fails to meet expectations or becomes insolvent, we could lose our investment in the partnership or joint venture.
We could incur more debt.
We operate with a policy of incurring indebtedness only when it is advisable in the opinion of our Board of Directors and management. We could incur additional indebtedness by borrowing under a line of credit, mortgaging properties we own, restructuring existing indebtedness, and/or issuing debt securities in public offerings or private transactions. The degree of indebtedness could affect our ability to obtain additional financing for working capital, capital expenditures, acquisitions, or other corporate purposes and make us more vulnerable to a down turn in business or the economy in general.
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