Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 15, 11:42 PM ET

TSAT max pain

Spot (delayed)$50.64
Max pain · Fri, Jan 15$45-11.1% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$19.15±37.8% by Fri, Jan 15
Put/Call OI0.44239 puts / 542 calls
Call wall$45largest call OI
Put wall$45largest put OI
IV3076.5%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$12Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $45

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$45-11.1%5d
Fri, Sep 18$45-11.1%33d
Fri, Oct 16$50-1.3%61d
Fri, Jan 15$45-11.1%152d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot45233548607385$2M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 45 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot4522.535506580137137
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)TSAT open contracts per strike for Fri, Jan 15.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot4522.53550658055
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot23354860738598%73%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 74.5% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spotflip 4522.535506580+$3K$3K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Jan 15

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.94-0.0122.50.00340.04-0.01-0.06
0.93-0.01250.00430.04-0.01-0.07
0.90-0.01300.00650.06-0.01-0.10
0.84-0.02350.00940.08-0.02-0.15
0.78-0.02400.01240.10-0.02-0.22
0.70-0.03450.01460.11-0.03-0.30
0.61-0.03500.01570.13-0.03-0.39
0.54-0.03550.01600.13-0.03-0.46
0.48-0.03600.01570.13-0.03-0.53
0.42-0.03650.01500.13-0.03-0.59
0.37-0.03700.01420.12-0.03-0.64
0.33-0.03750.01330.12-0.03-0.68
0.29-0.03800.01240.11-0.03-0.72
0.26-0.03850.01160.11-0.03-0.75

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot17.5355065804640
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot1522.535506580750750
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 3K call contracts, 2K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: TSAT workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk