Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 27, 5:31 PM ET

TECK max pain

Spot (delayed)$70.83
Max pain · Fri, Oct 2$62-12.5% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$8±11.3% by Fri, Oct 2
Put/Call OI1.2520 puts / 16 calls
Call wall$77largest call OI
Put wall$60largest put OI
IV3043.7%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$934per 1% move · flip ≈ $77

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Sep 4$63-11.1%7d
Fri, Sep 11$67-5.4%14d
Fri, Sep 18$60-15.3%21d
Fri, Sep 25$64-9.6%28d
Fri, Oct 2$62-12.5%35d
Fri, Oct 16$70-1.2%49d
Fri, Nov 20$60-15.3%84d
Fri, Dec 18$55-22.3%112d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot62535864697580$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 62 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 2

spot6253566063727677
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)TECK open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 2.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 2

spot6253566063727611
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 2

spot53586469758063%44%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 44.9% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 2

spotflip 77535660637276+$1K$1K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 2

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.92-0.02570.01280.04-0.03-0.09
0.90-0.02580.01450.04-0.03-0.10
0.87-0.03600.01840.05-0.03-0.13
0.85-0.03610.02060.05-0.04-0.15
0.83-0.03620.02300.06-0.04-0.17
0.81-0.04630.02540.06-0.04-0.19
0.61-0.05690.03860.09-0.05-0.39
0.57-0.05700.03980.09-0.05-0.43
0.49-0.05720.04050.09-0.05-0.51
0.42-0.05740.03930.09-0.05-0.59
0.38-0.05750.03820.09-0.05-0.63
0.35-0.05760.03670.08-0.05-0.66
0.32-0.05770.03510.08-0.05-0.69
0.24-0.04800.02950.07-0.04-0.77

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 14 strikes around the money — all 18 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot20405967748213K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot15405060708014K14K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 42K call contracts, 22K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: TECK workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk