Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 12, 1:54 PM ET

SMCI max pain

Spot (delayed)$40.35
Max pain · Fri, Nov 6$40-0.9% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$6.85±17.0% by Fri, Nov 6
Put/Call OI0.576K puts / 11K calls
Call wall$50largest call OI
Put wall$30largest put OI
IV3080.8%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$282Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $46
Earnings · expectedTue, Nov 3usually before the open

Event risk before this expiration: CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$41+1.6%4d
Fri, Oct 23$42+4.1%11d
Fri, Oct 30$41+1.6%18d
Fri, Nov 6$40-0.9%25d← 1st expiry after earnings (Tue, Nov 3)
Fri, Nov 13$44+9.0%32d
Fri, Nov 20$37-8.3%39d
Fri, Nov 27$44+9.0%46d
Fri, Dec 18$40-0.9%67d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot40152637485970$25M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 40 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Nov 6

spot401531374349552K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)SMCI open contracts per strike for Fri, Nov 6.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Nov 6

spot40153137434955163163
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Nov 6

spot152637485970166%79%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 81.1% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Nov 6

spotflip 46153137434955+$88K−$88K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Nov 6

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.85-0.04330.02620.02-0.04-0.15
0.82-0.04340.03010.03-0.04-0.18
0.79-0.05350.03390.03-0.05-0.22
0.74-0.05360.03730.03-0.06-0.26
0.70-0.06370.04030.04-0.06-0.30
0.66-0.06380.04270.04-0.06-0.34
0.61-0.07390.04460.04-0.07-0.39
0.57-0.07400.04570.04-0.07-0.44
0.52-0.07410.04620.04-0.07-0.48
0.48-0.07420.04600.04-0.07-0.53
0.43-0.07430.04530.04-0.07-0.57
0.39-0.07440.04410.04-0.07-0.61
0.35-0.06450.04240.04-0.06-0.65
0.32-0.06460.04050.04-0.06-0.69
0.28-0.06470.03840.04-0.06-0.72

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 34 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot5303640.5455028K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot12233435285144K144K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 1.1M call contracts, 1.1M put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: SMCI workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk