Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 12, 1:55 PM ET

SMCI max pain

Spot (delayed)$40.44
Max pain · Fri, Oct 30$41+1.4% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$4.97±12.3% by Fri, Oct 30
Put/Call OI0.8322K puts / 27K calls
Call wall$50largest call OI
Put wall$32largest put OI
IV3080.7%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$157Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $15
Earnings · expectedTue, Nov 3usually before the open

Event risk before this expiration: CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$41+1.4%4d
Fri, Oct 23$42+3.9%11d
Fri, Oct 30$41+1.4%18d
Fri, Nov 6$40-1.1%25d← 1st expiry after earnings (Tue, Nov 3)
Fri, Nov 13$44+8.8%32d
Fri, Nov 20$37-8.5%39d
Fri, Nov 27$44+8.8%46d
Fri, Dec 18$40-1.1%67d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot41102234465870$60M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 41 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot411029354147534K4K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)SMCI open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 30.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot41102935414753744744
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot152637485970179%67%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 68.7% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spotflip 15153036424854+$226K−$226K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 30

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.91-0.03330.02420.01-0.03-0.09
0.88-0.03340.03060.02-0.03-0.12
0.85-0.04350.03750.02-0.04-0.15
0.80-0.05360.04440.03-0.05-0.20
0.75-0.05370.05090.03-0.06-0.25
0.69-0.06380.05650.03-0.06-0.31
0.63-0.06390.06080.03-0.07-0.37
0.57-0.07400.06340.04-0.07-0.44
0.50-0.07410.06430.04-0.07-0.50
0.44-0.07420.06340.04-0.07-0.56
0.38-0.07430.06100.04-0.07-0.62
0.33-0.06440.05750.03-0.06-0.68
0.28-0.06450.05320.03-0.06-0.72
0.24-0.05460.04840.03-0.05-0.77
0.20-0.05470.04340.03-0.05-0.81

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 36 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot5303640.5455028K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot12233435285144K144K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 1.1M call contracts, 1.1M put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: SMCI workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk