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Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Jul 31, 2:22 PM ET

PG max pain

Spot (delayed)$142.63
Max pain · Fri, Oct 16$145+1.7% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$12.18±8.5% by Fri, Oct 16
Put/Call OI0.5511K puts / 20K calls
Call wall$165largest call OI
Put wall$145largest put OI
IV3022.8%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$1.3Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $165

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Aug 7 · CPI release Wed, Aug 12 · Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 7$148+3.8%6d
Fri, Aug 14$146+2.4%13d
Fri, Aug 21$145+1.7%20d
Fri, Aug 28$144+1.0%27d
Fri, Sep 4$147+3.1%34d
Fri, Sep 11$144+1.0%41d
Fri, Sep 18$145+1.7%48d
Fri, Oct 16$145+1.7%76d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot14590118146174202230$137M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 145 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot1459011514016519023011K11K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)PG open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 16.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot145901151401651902303737
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot9011814617420223051%20%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 22.8% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spotflip 16590115140165190230+$2.6M$2.6M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 16

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.97-0.011100.00320.05-0.01-0.03
0.95-0.011150.00480.06-0.01-0.04
0.93-0.011200.00720.09-0.01-0.07
0.89-0.021250.01090.12-0.02-0.11
0.83-0.031300.01570.17-0.03-0.17
0.74-0.031350.02090.21-0.03-0.27
0.62-0.041400.02520.25-0.04-0.39
0.49-0.041450.02700.26-0.04-0.52
0.36-0.041500.02580.25-0.04-0.66
0.25-0.031550.02190.21-0.03-0.79
0.16-0.021600.01680.16-0.03-0.89
0.10-0.021650.01220.12-0.02-0.95
0.07-0.011700.00860.09-0.01-0.99
0.05-0.011750.00620.07-0.00-1.00
0.04-0.011800.00460.05-1.00

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 26 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot100133141149167.520012K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot7012013814817022038K38K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 190K call contracts, 134K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: PG workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk