Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 14, 1:10 AM ET

OZK max pain

Spot (delayed)$45
Max pain · Fri, Aug 20$42.5-5.6% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$9.4±20.9% by Fri, Aug 20
Put wall$32.5largest put OI
IV3029.4%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$1Kper 1% move

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$45+0.0%2d
Fri, Nov 20$47.5+5.6%37d
Fri, Jan 15$50+11.1%93d
Fri, Feb 19$50+11.1%128d
Fri, May 21$45+0.0%219d
Fri, Aug 20$42.5-5.6%310d
Fri, Jan 21$40-11.1%464d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

Open interest by strike · Fri, Aug 20

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Aug 20

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot203542.55057.5702K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2030405060757K7K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 8K call contracts, 21K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: OZK workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk