Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 12, 11:55 AM ET

ORCL max pain

Spot (delayed)$140.58
Max pain · Fri, Oct 16$145+3.1% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$7.13±5.1% by Fri, Oct 16
Put/Call OI0.58197K puts / 341K calls
Call wall$160largest call OI
Put wall$105largest put OI
IV3053.3%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$23.3Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $155
Earnings · expectedWed, Dec 9usually after the close

Event risk before this expiration: CPI release Wed, Oct 14 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$145+3.1%4d
Fri, Oct 23$140-0.4%11d
Fri, Oct 30$140-0.4%18d
Fri, Nov 6$137-2.5%25d
Fri, Nov 13$145+3.1%32d
Fri, Nov 20$150+6.7%39d
Fri, Nov 27$135-4.0%46d
Fri, Dec 18$155+10.3%67d← 1st expiry after earnings (Wed, Dec 9)

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot14580132184236288340$5.5B$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 145 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot14580127137147167.523047K47K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)ORCL open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 16.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot14580127137147167.523013K13K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot80126172218264310179%45%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 46.1% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spotflip 15580127137147167.5230+$14.4M−$14.4M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 16

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.81-0.171340.03000.05-0.17-0.19
0.78-0.191350.03320.06-0.19-0.22
0.74-0.211360.03600.06-0.21-0.26
0.71-0.221370.03860.07-0.23-0.29
0.66-0.241380.04070.07-0.24-0.34
0.62-0.251390.04220.07-0.25-0.38
0.58-0.261400.04330.08-0.26-0.42
0.53-0.271410.04380.08-0.27-0.47
0.49-0.271420.04370.08-0.27-0.51
0.45-0.271430.04320.08-0.27-0.55
0.41-0.261440.04220.08-0.26-0.60
0.37-0.251450.04070.07-0.26-0.64
0.33-0.241460.03890.07-0.25-0.67
0.29-0.231470.03680.07-0.23-0.71
0.26-0.221480.03460.06-0.22-0.74

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 60 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot80127139152.5182.524074K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot60105145190270360142K142K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 1.9M call contracts, 1.6M put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: ORCL workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk