Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 21, 2:47 AM ET

NVAX max pain

Spot (delayed)$8.39
Max pain · Fri, Sep 18$8-4.6% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$1.42±16.9% by Fri, Sep 18
Put/Call OI0.312K puts / 7K calls
Call wall$10largest call OI
Put wall$7largest put OI
IV3072.2%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$55Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $5

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$8-4.6%today
Fri, Aug 28$8-4.6%7d
Fri, Sep 4$8-4.6%14d
Fri, Sep 11$7.5-10.6%21d
Fri, Sep 18$8-4.6%28d
Fri, Sep 25$8-4.6%35d
Fri, Oct 2$8.5+1.3%42d
Fri, Oct 16$7-16.6%56d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot8147111417$5M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 8 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Sep 18

spot815811153K3K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)NVAX open contracts per strike for Fri, Sep 18.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Sep 18

spot81581115620620
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Sep 18

spot258111417265%63%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 75.0% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Sep 18

spotflip 51581115+$34K$34K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Sep 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
1.0010.00240.00-0.00-0.01
0.990.0020.00530.00-0.00-0.01
0.99-0.0030.00900.00-0.00-0.01
0.96-0.0050.03420.00-0.00-0.04
0.92-0.0160.06940.00-0.01-0.08
0.82-0.0170.13880.01-0.01-0.17
0.64-0.0180.21910.01-0.01-0.36
0.41-0.0190.21820.01-0.01-0.58
0.26-0.01100.16750.01-0.01-0.73
0.17-0.01110.12040.01-0.01-0.82
0.12-0.01120.08640.01-0.01-0.88
0.08-0.01130.06280.00-0.00-0.91
0.04-0.00150.03500.00-0.00-0.95
0.03-0.00160.02680.000.00-0.96

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 14 strikes around the money — all 15 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot157.51012.5169K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot158.512162534K34K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 149K call contracts, 74K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: NVAX workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk