Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 6, 2:48 AM ET

MRK max pain

Spot (delayed)$128.17
Max pain · Fri, Aug 21$125-2.5% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$6.42±5.0% by Fri, Aug 21
Put/Call OI0.6621K puts / 31K calls
Call wall$135largest call OI
Put wall$120largest put OI
IV3028.0%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$9.5Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $130

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Aug 7 · CPI release Wed, Aug 12 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 7$128-0.1%1d
Fri, Aug 14$127-0.9%8d
Fri, Aug 21$125-2.5%15d
Fri, Aug 28$125-2.5%22d
Fri, Sep 4$129+0.6%29d
Fri, Sep 11$126-1.7%36d
Fri, Sep 18$100-22.0%43d
Fri, Oct 16$120-6.4%71d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot1256586107128149170$115M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 125 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Aug 21

spot125651051221301381506K6K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MRK open contracts per strike for Fri, Aug 21.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Aug 21

spot12565105122130138150156156
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Aug 21

spot7594113132151170118%28%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 29.8% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Aug 21

spotflip 13065105122130138150+$4.1M$4.1M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Aug 21

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.83-0.061210.02990.07-0.07-0.17
0.80-0.071220.03360.07-0.07-0.20
0.77-0.081230.03730.08-0.08-0.23
0.73-0.081240.04080.09-0.09-0.27
0.69-0.091250.04400.10-0.09-0.32
0.64-0.091260.04650.10-0.10-0.36
0.59-0.101270.04850.10-0.10-0.41
0.54-0.101280.04970.11-0.10-0.46
0.49-0.101290.05010.11-0.10-0.51
0.44-0.101300.04970.11-0.10-0.56
0.40-0.101310.04860.10-0.10-0.61
0.35-0.091320.04680.10-0.09-0.66
0.30-0.091330.04440.09-0.09-0.70
0.26-0.081340.04140.09-0.08-0.75
0.22-0.071350.03810.08-0.07-0.79

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 45 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot651081191291391508K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot4010011612814015530K30K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 257K call contracts, 202K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MRK workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk