Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 21, 9:08 AM ET

MMM max pain

Spot (delayed)$172.01
Max pain · Fri, Mar 19$170-1.2% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$23±13.4% by Fri, Mar 19
Put/Call OI0.844K puts / 4K calls
Call wall$210largest call OI
Put wall$165largest put OI
IV3026.5%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$331Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $200

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 23$165-4.1%2d
Fri, Oct 30$165-4.1%9d
Fri, Nov 6$170-1.2%16d
Fri, Nov 13$170-1.2%23d
Fri, Nov 20$165-4.1%30d
Fri, Nov 27$170-1.2%37d
Fri, Dec 18$160-7.0%58d
Fri, Jan 15$155-9.9%86d
Fri, Mar 19$170-1.2%149d
Fri, Apr 16$165-4.1%177d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot17075114153192231270$34M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 170 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot17075105135165195250951951
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MMM open contracts per strike for Fri, Mar 19.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot170751051351651952505757
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot7511415319223127078%24%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 26.3% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spotflip 20075105135165195250+$219K−$219K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Mar 19

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.91-0.011350.00480.17-0.02-0.09
0.89-0.011400.00600.21-0.02-0.12
0.85-0.021450.00730.25-0.02-0.15
0.81-0.021500.00880.30-0.03-0.19
0.76-0.031550.01030.34-0.03-0.24
0.70-0.031600.01170.38-0.03-0.30
0.64-0.031650.01280.41-0.04-0.37
0.58-0.031700.01370.43-0.04-0.43
0.51-0.041750.01410.43-0.04-0.51
0.44-0.041800.01410.43-0.04-0.58
0.37-0.031850.01360.41-0.03-0.65
0.31-0.031900.01280.39-0.03-0.72
0.26-0.031950.01170.35-0.03-0.78
0.21-0.032000.01050.31-0.02-0.84
0.13-0.022100.00780.24-0.01-0.92

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 32 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot95130146157.5175192.52K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot65115143157.5182.521513K13K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 67K call contracts, 46K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MMM workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk