Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 11, 11:03 PM ET

MDLZ max pain

Spot (delayed)$60.59
Max pain · Fri, Nov 20$60-1.0% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$4.7±7.8% by Fri, Nov 20
Put/Call OI0.342K puts / 5K calls
Call wall$62.5largest call OI
Put wall$60largest put OI
IV3024.3%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$873Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $50

Event risk before this expiration: CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$60-1.0%4d
Fri, Oct 23$60-1.0%11d
Fri, Oct 30$60-1.0%18d
Fri, Nov 6$58-4.3%25d
Fri, Nov 13$62+2.3%32d
Fri, Nov 20$60-1.0%39d
Fri, Dec 18$60-1.0%67d
Fri, Jan 15$60-1.0%95d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot60404754616875$6M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 60 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot604052.557.562.567.5753K3K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MDLZ open contracts per strike for Fri, Nov 20.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot604052.557.562.567.5752929
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot40475461687577%19%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 28.8% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spotflip 504052.557.562.567.575+$765K−$765K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Nov 20

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.97-0.01400.00460.01-0.01-0.03
0.92-0.01500.01670.03-0.01-0.08
0.90-0.0152.50.02460.04-0.01-0.10
0.85-0.02550.03880.05-0.02-0.15
0.74-0.0257.50.06050.07-0.02-0.26
0.57-0.02600.07720.08-0.02-0.44
0.38-0.0262.50.07550.08-0.02-0.64
0.22-0.02650.05770.06-0.02-0.80
0.12-0.0167.50.03800.04-0.01-0.90
0.07-0.01700.02380.03-0.01-0.96
0.03-0.01750.01070.01-0.00-0.99

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot545962.56669732K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot27.5475462698011K11K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 50K call contracts, 39K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MDLZ workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk