Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Sep 20, 11:50 PM ET

MCD max pain

Spot (delayed)$248.9
Max pain · Fri, Oct 30$255+2.5% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$14.75±5.9% by Fri, Oct 30
Put/Call OI0.97855 puts / 883 calls
Call wall$255largest call OI
Put wall$235largest put OI
IV3020.8%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$65Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $180
Earnings · expectedWed, Nov 4usually before the open

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Sep 25$255+2.5%4d
Fri, Oct 2$255+2.5%11d
Fri, Oct 9$255+2.5%18d
Fri, Oct 16$260+4.5%25d
Fri, Oct 23$260+4.5%32d
Fri, Oct 30$255+2.5%39d
Fri, Nov 20$265+6.5%60d← 1st expiry after earnings (Wed, Nov 4)
Fri, Dec 18$270+8.5%88d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot255170199228257286315$6M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 255 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot255170200230255280305285285
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MCD open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 30.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot2551702002302552803059494
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot17019922825728631556%17%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 21.7% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spotflip 180170210235260285315+$294K$294K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 30

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.97-0.022150.00360.07-0.02-0.03
0.95-0.032200.00530.09-0.03-0.05
0.92-0.032250.00790.13-0.04-0.08
0.87-0.052300.01120.18-0.05-0.13
0.80-0.062350.01490.24-0.06-0.20
0.72-0.072400.01840.29-0.08-0.29
0.62-0.082450.02090.32-0.09-0.39
0.51-0.092500.02200.34-0.09-0.50
0.40-0.082550.02140.33-0.09-0.62
0.31-0.072600.01930.30-0.08-0.72
0.22-0.062650.01630.25-0.07-0.81
0.16-0.052700.01300.21-0.06-0.89
0.11-0.042750.00990.16-0.05-0.94
0.07-0.032800.00730.12-0.03-0.97
0.05-0.022850.00530.09-0.01-0.99

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 27 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot180220247.52652853252K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot12519524528035042039K39K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 181K call contracts, 115K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MCD workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk