Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 6, 12:18 AM ET

MCD max pain

Spot (delayed)$273.88
Max pain · Fri, Oct 16$270-1.4% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$22.33±8.2% by Fri, Oct 16
Put/Call OI0.8210K puts / 12K calls
Call wall$300largest call OI
Put wall$230largest put OI
IV3022.8%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$4.1Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $300

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Aug 7 · CPI release Wed, Aug 12 · Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 7$270-1.4%2d
Fri, Aug 14$270-1.4%9d
Fri, Aug 21$270-1.4%16d
Fri, Aug 28$270-1.4%23d
Fri, Sep 4$270-1.4%30d
Fri, Sep 11$265-3.2%37d
Fri, Sep 18$285+4.1%44d
Fri, Oct 16$270-1.4%72d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot270150200250300350400$123M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 270 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot2701502102452803153505K5K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MCD open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 16.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot270150210245280315350257257
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot15020025030035040077%15%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 22.8% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spotflip 300150210245280315350+$3.7M$3.7M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 16

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.91-0.032400.00600.20-0.04-0.10
0.87-0.042450.00750.25-0.04-0.13
0.83-0.052500.00900.31-0.05-0.17
0.78-0.062550.01060.36-0.06-0.23
0.72-0.062600.01200.41-0.07-0.28
0.66-0.072650.01320.45-0.07-0.35
0.59-0.072700.01400.47-0.08-0.42
0.52-0.072750.01440.48-0.08-0.50
0.45-0.072800.01430.48-0.08-0.57
0.38-0.072850.01380.46-0.07-0.64
0.32-0.072900.01280.43-0.07-0.71
0.26-0.062950.01170.40-0.06-0.77
0.21-0.063000.01040.35-0.06-0.82
0.17-0.053050.00900.31-0.05-0.86
0.14-0.043100.00770.27-0.04-0.90

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 41 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot155210252.5280307.53608K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot135205257.5292.534541528K28K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 173K call contracts, 120K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MCD workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk