Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 16, 6:04 PM ET

HON max pain

Spot (delayed)$212.41
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$220+3.6% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$21.45±10.1% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI0.422K puts / 5K calls
Call wall$240largest call OI
Put wall$195largest put OI
IV3033.2%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$1.2Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $240

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$210-1.1%today
Fri, Oct 23$210-1.1%7d
Fri, Oct 30$210-1.1%14d
Fri, Nov 6$210-1.1%21d
Fri, Nov 13$210-1.1%28d
Fri, Nov 20$210-1.1%35d
Fri, Nov 27$205-3.5%42d
Fri, Dec 18$220+3.6%63d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot220120170220270320370$66M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 220 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot2201201601902403003602K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)HON open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot2201201601902403003601515
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot12017022027032037068%29%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 30.4% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spotflip 240120160190240300360+$1.1M−$1.1M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.94-0.031700.00370.10-0.03-0.06
0.92-0.041750.00480.13-0.04-0.08
0.89-0.041800.00600.16-0.04-0.11
0.86-0.051850.00750.20-0.05-0.14
0.82-0.061900.00920.23-0.06-0.18
0.77-0.071950.01090.27-0.07-0.23
0.71-0.072000.01260.30-0.07-0.29
0.57-0.082100.01500.34-0.08-0.43
0.42-0.082200.01510.34-0.08-0.59
0.29-0.072300.01310.30-0.07-0.72
0.19-0.062400.01020.24-0.06-0.82
0.12-0.042500.00740.18-0.04-0.89
0.08-0.032600.00520.13-0.03-0.93
0.05-0.022700.00360.10-0.02-0.96
0.04-0.022800.00250.07-0.02-0.98

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 32 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot110190212.52302553109K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot105160192.522025030512K12K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 53K call contracts, 20K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: HON workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk