Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 15, 8:16 PM ET

HALO max pain

Spot (delayed)$121.51
Max pain · Fri, May 21$95-21.8% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$28.6±23.5% by Fri, May 21
Put/Call OI0.606 puts / 10 calls
Call wall$115largest call OI
Put wall$70largest put OI
IV3041.1%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$980per 1% move · flip ≈ $115

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$110-9.5%1d
Fri, Nov 20$110-9.5%36d
Fri, Dec 18$75-38.3%64d
Fri, Mar 19$90-25.9%155d
Fri, May 21$95-21.8%218d
Fri, Aug 20$60-50.6%309d
Fri, Dec 17$100-17.7%428d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot95708294106118130$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 95 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, May 21

spot95709511512013055
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)HALO open contracts per strike for Fri, May 21.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, May 21

spot95709511512013033
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, May 21

spot70829410611813054%38%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 38.5% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, May 21

spotflip 1157095115120130+$746−$746
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, May 21

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.95-0.00700.00200.09-0.01-0.04
0.84-0.02950.00620.23-0.02-0.16
0.66-0.031150.01010.34-0.03-0.35
0.60-0.031200.01080.36-0.03-0.40
0.49-0.031300.01140.37-0.03-0.52

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot355575951151351K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot3560851101351602K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 13K call contracts, 3K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: HALO workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk