Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Sep 22, 1:26 AM ET

GPRE max pain

Spot (delayed)$14.85
Max pain · Fri, Mar 19$20+34.7% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$5.03±33.8% by Fri, Mar 19
Put/Call OI0.3456 puts / 163 calls
Call wall$35largest call OI
Put wall$21largest put OI
IV3056.2%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$296per 1% move · flip ≈ $12

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$15+1.0%23d
Fri, Nov 20$17+14.5%58d
Fri, Dec 18$10-32.7%86d
Fri, Jan 15$10-32.7%114d
Fri, Mar 19$20+34.7%177d
Fri, Jan 21$7-52.9%485d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot20101520253035$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 20 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot201012162125121121
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)GPRE open contracts per strike for Fri, Mar 19.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot20101216212511
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot10152025303575%57%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 60.9% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spotflip 121012162125+$507$507
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Mar 19

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.86-0.00100.02960.02-0.01-0.14
0.82-0.00110.03690.03-0.01-0.18
0.78-0.01120.04460.03-0.01-0.23
0.60-0.01150.06190.04-0.01-0.41
0.54-0.01160.06410.04-0.01-0.47
0.34-0.01200.05780.04-0.01-0.69
0.30-0.01210.05440.04-0.01-0.73
0.24-0.01230.04730.03-0.01-0.80
0.19-0.01250.04060.03-0.00-0.85
0.07-0.00350.01900.01-0.00-0.99

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot310141822358K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot381318233510K10K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 33K call contracts, 14K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: GPRE workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk