Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 14, 3:54 AM ET

ESS max pain

Spot (delayed)$271.88
Max pain · Fri, Nov 20$270-0.7% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$15.15±5.6% by Fri, Nov 20
Put/Call OI0.3490 puts / 267 calls
Call wall$280largest call OI
Put wall$270largest put OI
IV3021.3%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$296Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $280

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$270-0.7%2d
Fri, Nov 20$270-0.7%37d
Fri, Jan 15$250-8.0%93d
Fri, Apr 16$290+6.7%184d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot270220236252268284300$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 270 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot270220240260280300263263
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)ESS open contracts per strike for Fri, Nov 20.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot27022024026028030011
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot22023625226828430047%21%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 21.5% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spotflip 280220240260280300+$395K−$395K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Nov 20

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.93-0.062200.00310.11-0.07-0.07
0.91-0.072300.00440.14-0.07-0.09
0.88-0.082400.00640.18-0.08-0.12
0.82-0.092500.00960.23-0.09-0.18
0.73-0.102600.01460.29-0.10-0.27
0.57-0.102700.02050.34-0.10-0.43
0.36-0.092800.02030.33-0.09-0.65
0.22-0.082900.01440.26-0.08-0.79
0.14-0.073000.00970.20-0.07-0.87

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot2302703003303603905150
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot145175210270330390516516
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 2K call contracts, 572 put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: ESS workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk