Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 9, 9:10 PM ET

CEG max pain

Spot (delayed)$298.07
Max pain · Fri, Oct 30$270-9.4% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$26.2±8.8% by Fri, Oct 30
Put/Call OI2.356K puts / 3K calls
Call wall$330largest call OI
Put wall$215largest put OI
IV3047.4%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$1.3Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $305

Event risk before this expiration: CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$285-4.4%4d
Fri, Oct 23$290-2.7%11d
Fri, Oct 30$270-9.4%18d
Fri, Nov 6$275-7.7%25d
Fri, Nov 13$290-2.7%32d
Fri, Nov 20$280-6.1%39d
Fri, Nov 27$270-9.4%46d
Fri, Dec 18$280-6.1%67d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot270195230265300335370$20M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 270 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot2701952252552853153455K5K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)CEG open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 30.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot270195225255285315345311311
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot195230265300335370110%39%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 45.6% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spotflip 305195225255285315345+$632K−$632K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 30

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.87-0.172650.00630.16-0.18-0.14
0.83-0.202700.00750.18-0.20-0.17
0.79-0.232750.00870.21-0.23-0.21
0.74-0.262800.00980.23-0.26-0.26
0.69-0.282850.01080.25-0.28-0.32
0.63-0.302900.01150.27-0.30-0.37
0.57-0.312950.01200.28-0.31-0.43
0.51-0.313000.01220.28-0.32-0.49
0.45-0.313050.01210.28-0.31-0.56
0.39-0.303100.01170.28-0.30-0.61
0.34-0.293150.01110.26-0.29-0.67
0.29-0.273200.01030.24-0.27-0.72
0.25-0.253250.00940.23-0.25-0.76
0.21-0.233300.00850.20-0.23-0.80
0.17-0.203350.00750.18-0.21-0.84

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 35 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot160245267.52903153603K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot12519025030037050012K12K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 81K call contracts, 137K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: CEG workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk