Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 14, 2:08 PM ET

BILI max pain

Spot (delayed)$17.36
Max pain · Fri, Oct 16$18+3.7% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$2.99±17.2% by Fri, Oct 16
Put/Call OI0.4916K puts / 33K calls
Call wall$26largest call OI
Put wall$18largest put OI
IV3055.0%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$51Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $27

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$19.5+12.4%6d
Fri, Aug 28$18+3.7%13d
Fri, Sep 4$16-7.8%20d
Fri, Sep 18$19+9.5%34d
Fri, Oct 16$18+3.7%62d
Fri, Jan 15$20+15.2%153d
Fri, Dec 17$25+44.1%489d
Fri, Jan 21$25+44.1%524d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot18101724313845$70M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 18 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot181016222834407K7K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)BILI open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 16.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot1810162228344055
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot101724313845104%32%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 52.1% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spotflip 27101622283440+$89K$89K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 16

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.97-0.00100.01240.01-0.00-0.03
0.96-0.00110.01770.01-0.00-0.04
0.94-0.00120.02580.01-0.00-0.06
0.91-0.01130.03840.01-0.01-0.09
0.86-0.01140.05640.02-0.01-0.14
0.79-0.01150.07650.02-0.01-0.21
0.69-0.01160.09340.03-0.01-0.31
0.59-0.01170.10340.03-0.01-0.41
0.49-0.01180.10520.03-0.01-0.52
0.39-0.01190.10020.03-0.01-0.61
0.31-0.01200.09060.03-0.01-0.70
0.24-0.01210.07900.02-0.01-0.77
0.19-0.01220.06720.02-0.01-0.82
0.15-0.01230.05620.02-0.01-0.86
0.12-0.01240.04670.01-0.01-0.90

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 32 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot1216202533418K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot313.518.523.5334322K22K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 112K call contracts, 88K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: BILI workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk