Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 17, 3:14 AM ET

AGCO max pain

Spot (delayed)$103.72
Max pain · Fri, Nov 20$110+6.1% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$12±11.6% by Fri, Nov 20
Put/Call OI0.19415 puts / 2K calls
Call wall$135largest call OI
Put wall$95largest put OI
IV3044.7%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$181Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $120

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$110+6.1%35d
Fri, Feb 19$105+1.2%126d
Fri, May 21$80-22.9%217d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot1106587109131153175$10M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 110 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot11065851051251451652K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)AGCO open contracts per strike for Fri, Nov 20.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot11065851051251451651010
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot658710913115317594%41%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 46.3% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spotflip 1206585105125145165+$164K−$164K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Nov 20

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.97-0.02700.00280.02-0.02-0.03
0.96-0.03750.00420.03-0.03-0.04
0.94-0.03800.00640.04-0.03-0.06
0.91-0.04850.00980.05-0.04-0.10
0.85-0.05900.01470.07-0.05-0.15
0.77-0.07950.02080.10-0.07-0.24
0.65-0.081000.02610.12-0.08-0.36
0.51-0.081050.02770.13-0.08-0.50
0.39-0.081100.02550.12-0.08-0.62
0.29-0.081150.02150.11-0.08-0.72
0.22-0.071200.01750.10-0.07-0.79
0.17-0.061250.01410.08-0.07-0.84
0.13-0.061300.01140.07-0.06-0.88
0.11-0.051350.00920.06-0.06-0.91
0.09-0.041400.00760.05-0.05-0.93

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 23 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot60851051251451652K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot55801051301551802K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 4K call contracts, 591 put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: AGCO workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk