Dilution profile // every instrument, one screen, from SEC filings

Modular Medical, Inc. (MODD)

CIK 1074871 · all EDGAR filings →

Overall dilution risk
HIGHworst of 4 computed signals (offering ability)
= the worst band among the computed sub-ratings, no hidden weighting
Offering ability
HIGH$174M registered
= total registered offering amount from the fee exhibits of live registrations (bands: $1M / $20M)
registered capacity, not remaining: amounts already taken down are not subtracted yet
Overhead supply
LOWwarrants = 0% of O/S
= warrant shares outstanding divided by current shares outstanding (bands: 20% / 50%)
warrants only; converts, ATMs and equity lines are not in free structured data, so the true overhead is AT LEAST this
Historical dilution
HIGH+25568% O/S in 3y
= share count now vs 3 years ago (bands: 30% / 100%); a reverse split pushes this negative
a reverse-split-sized cliff is in this window; read the chart
Cash need
HIGH~3.5 months of runway
= cash vs trailing operating burn (bands: 6mo / 24mo; positive operating CF = low)
the company itself flagged going-concern doubt

Same rating bands the category standard uses, but free, with the formula on the chip and the gaps in the data said out loud.

Shares outstanding over time

2020-08-102026-06-22

Latest: 5.41B shares as of Jun 22, 2026 (10-K). Share count fell from 19.1M to 6.4M between Nov 10, 2021 and Feb 10, 2022, a pattern consistent with a reverse split (roughly 1-for-3); simultaneous issuance can skew the raw ratio, so confirm in the filings. The red bar marks the cliff.

Cash runway

Going-concern warning

auditor flagged substantial doubt

The company itself flagged going-concern doubt in a filing.

Full breakdown: cash runway tool · source filing →

Warrants

TrancheWarrantsExercise priceTermNotes
September2025 Warrants108.4M$25.2
September Twenty Twenty Five Warrant Inducement Offering63.4M$20.4
Warrant3.2M$33.60.5y
Common Warrantnot tagged$5.286
Underwriter Warrantnot tagged$13.86
Two Thousand Twenty Three Warrantsnot tagged$36.6
March Two Thousand Twenty Five Warrantsnot tagged$33.6

Tranches exactly as the company dimensioned them in its 10-K filed Jun 29, 2026. Groupings can overlap (a “Series E and F” row is not additive with a “Series E” row), so do not sum this column. A tranche the filer did not tag is absent here, not absent from the cap table. DOWN-ROUND = the filer tagged price-protection accounting scoped to that tranche.

Warrants outstanding: 3.2M underlying shares, as reported Mar 31, 2026 (10-K).

Reported exercise price: $0.01 (aggregate figure as tagged; individual tranches vary).

Rough fully diluted estimate: 5.42B = 5.41B O/S + 3.2M warrant shares. An estimate, not a filing figure: it ignores converts, options and RSUs, and the two inputs carry different as-of dates.

Convertible notes

No convertible-note facts tagged in the 10-K filed Jun 29, 2026. If convertible notes exist, their terms live in exhibit prose for this filer and are not parsed; absence of a tag is not proof of absence. The exhibits are the ground truth.

Fully diluted build-up

Shares outstanding plus every potential-share instrument the filer tagged in XBRL, each at its own as-of date. An estimate assembled from filed figures, not a filing figure itself.

Shares outstanding5.41BJun 22, 2026
+ September2025 Warrants (if exercised)108.4MMar 31, 2026
+ September Twenty Twenty Five Warrant Inducement Offering (if exercised)63.4MMar 31, 2026
+ Warrant (if exercised)3.2MMar 31, 2026
Fully diluted estimate5.59B+3.2% vs O/S

Still excluded, because the filer does not tag them in countable form: employee options and RSUs, any instrument living only in exhibit prose, and instruments above missing a share count. Inputs carry different as-of dates, shown per row. Each figure traces to the tranche and note tables above and their cited filings.

Registrations and offerings

Registered offering capacity on live registrations: $174.4Mfrom the structured fee exhibits; registered is not remaining, takedowns are not subtracted

S-3Aug 5, 2026$0.4M registeredfiling →
S-3Apr 23, 2026$150.0M registeredfiling →
S-1Feb 27, 2026$24.0M registeredfiling →

Last 12 months: 5 executed · 3 registered.

REGISTEREDAug 5, 2026S-3 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-3
EFFECTIVEMay 5, 2026SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT
REGISTEREDApr 23, 2026S-3 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-3
EXECUTEDApr 21, 2026Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5
EXECUTEDMar 4, 2026Final prospectus — offering priced (typical for IPOs and marketed share deals)424B4
EFFECTIVEMar 3, 2026SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT
REGISTEREDFeb 27, 2026S-1 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-1
EXECUTEDDec 10, 2025Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5
EXECUTEDDec 9, 2025Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5
EXECUTEDSep 23, 2025Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K
EFFECTIVEAug 19, 2025SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT
EFFECTIVEMay 22, 2025SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT

Full history and shelf status: offering checker · S-3 shelf checker

Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts and filing metadata, fetched live and cached briefly. Share counts are cover-page figures with their form named. Warrant tranches and convertible notes come from the dimensioned facts in the latest 10-Q/10-K instance document, exactly as the company tagged them; untagged tranches and notes are absent, not disproven. Nothing on this page is manually verified and nothing is behind a login: what free data supports is shown, what it cannot support is stated. Not investment advice.

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