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Dilution profile // every instrument, one screen, from SEC filings

Green Plains Inc. (GPRE)

CIK 1309402 · all EDGAR filings →

Overall dilution risk
HIGHworst of 4 computed signals (offering ability)
= the worst band among the computed sub-ratings, no hidden weighting
Offering ability
HIGH$308M registered
= total registered offering amount from the fee exhibits of live registrations (bands: $1M / $20M)
one or more live registrations had no structured fee data, so the true total is AT LEAST this
Overhead supply
LOWwarrants = 1% of O/S
= warrant shares outstanding divided by current shares outstanding (bands: 20% / 50%)
warrants only; converts, ATMs and equity lines are not in free structured data, so the true overhead is AT LEAST this
Historical dilution
LOW+18% O/S in 3y
= share count now vs 3 years ago (bands: 30% / 100%); a reverse split pushes this negative
Cash need
LOWoperating cash flow positive
= cash vs trailing operating burn (bands: 6mo / 24mo; positive operating CF = low)

Same rating bands the category standard uses, but free, with the formula on the chip and the gaps in the data said out loud.

Shares outstanding over time

2020-11-022026-08-03

Latest: 70.1M shares as of Aug 3, 2026 (10-Q).

Cash runway

Self-funding

generates cash

Full breakdown: cash runway tool · source filing →

Warrants

Warrants outstanding: 500,000 underlying shares, as reported Jun 30, 2026 (10-Q).

Reported exercise price: $0.01 (aggregate figure as tagged; individual tranches vary).

Rough fully diluted estimate: 70.6M = 70.1M O/S + 500,000 warrant shares. An estimate, not a filing figure: it ignores converts, options and RSUs, and the two inputs carry different as-of dates.

Convertible notes

NotePrincipalCarryingConv. priceRateIf converted
Convertible Notes Due 2030not tagged$200.0Mnot tagged5.25%—
Convertible Notes Due 2027$170.0M$60.0M$31.622.25%-5.25%~5.4M sh
Convertible Senior Notes Due 2030$30.0M$200.0M$15.725.25%~1.9M sh

If every note above converted at its tagged price: ~7.3M new shares on 70.1M currently outstanding. An estimate from principal ÷ conversion price, with inputs carrying different as-of dates; make-whole adjustments, capped calls and partial repurchases are not modeled.

Notes exactly as the company dimensioned them in its 10-Q filed Aug 6, 2026 →. Principal is face amount as tagged, not what remains after repurchases unless the filer updated the tag. A note the filer did not dimension is absent here, not absent from the balance sheet; the exhibits stay the ground truth.

Fully diluted build-up

Shares outstanding plus every potential-share instrument the filer tagged in XBRL, each at its own as-of date. An estimate assembled from filed figures, not a filing figure itself.

Shares outstanding70.1MAug 3, 2026
+ Warrants (aggregate, as tagged) (if exercised)500,000Jun 30, 2026
+ Convertible Notes Due 2027 (if fully converted)5.4MOct 27, 2025
+ Convertible Senior Notes Due 2030 (if fully converted)1.9MOct 27, 2025
Fully diluted estimate77.9M+11.1% vs O/S

Still excluded, because the filer does not tag them in countable form: employee options and RSUs, any instrument living only in exhibit prose, and instruments above missing a share count. Inputs carry different as-of dates, shown per row. Each figure traces to the tranche and note tables above and their cited filings.

Registrations and offerings

Registered offering capacity on live registrations: $307.9Mfrom the structured fee exhibits; registered is not remaining, takedowns are not subtracted

S-3ASRJun 22, 2026$7.9M registeredfiling →
S-3Jul 17, 2025$300.0M registeredfiling →
S-3ASRMay 6, 2024no structured fee exhibit in this filing (predates fee-data XBRL or fee deferred)filing →

Last 12 months: 1 executed · 3 registered.

REGISTEREDJun 22, 2026Automatic shelf registration — effective immediately (large filers)S-3ASR →
EXECUTEDOct 28, 2025Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K →
UPDATEAug 13, 2025Prospectus update — often a resale registration, not necessarily new capital424B3 →
UPDATEAug 13, 2025Prospectus update — often a resale registration, not necessarily new capital424B3 →
EFFECTIVEAug 13, 2025SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT →
REGISTEREDAug 12, 2025S-3/A registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-3/A →
REGISTEREDAug 12, 2025S-3/A registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-3/A →
REGISTEREDJul 17, 2025S-3 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-3 →
REGISTEREDMay 6, 2024Automatic shelf registration — effective immediately (large filers)S-3ASR →
UPDATEDec 4, 2023Prospectus update — often a resale registration, not necessarily new capital424B3 →
EFFECTIVEDec 1, 2023SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT →
EXECUTEDAug 25, 2022Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K →

Full history and shelf status: offering checker · S-3 shelf checker

Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts and filing metadata, fetched live and cached briefly. Share counts are cover-page figures with their form named. Warrant tranches and convertible notes come from the dimensioned facts in the latest 10-Q/10-K instance document, exactly as the company tagged them; untagged tranches and notes are absent, not disproven. Nothing on this page is manually verified and nothing is behind a login: what free data supports is shown, what it cannot support is stated. Not investment advice.

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