Dilution profile // every instrument, one screen, from SEC filings

CID Holdco, Inc. (DAICW)

CIK 2033770 · all EDGAR filings →

Overall dilution risk
HIGHworst of 4 computed signals (offering ability)
= the worst band among the computed sub-ratings, no hidden weighting
Offering ability
HIGH$346M registered
= total registered offering amount from the fee exhibits of live registrations (bands: $1M / $20M)
registered capacity, not remaining: amounts already taken down are not subtracted yet
Overhead supply
HIGHwarrants = 52% of O/S
= warrant shares outstanding divided by current shares outstanding (bands: 20% / 50%)
warrants only; converts, ATMs and equity lines are not in free structured data, so the true overhead is AT LEAST this
Historical dilution
LOW+9% O/S in 3y
= share count now vs 3 years ago (bands: 30% / 100%); a reverse split pushes this negative
Cash need
HIGH~0.8 months of runway
= cash vs trailing operating burn (bands: 6mo / 24mo; positive operating CF = low)
the company itself flagged going-concern doubt

Same rating bands the category standard uses, but free, with the formula on the chip and the gaps in the data said out loud.

Shares outstanding over time

2025-08-192026-05-11

Latest: 30.3M shares as of May 11, 2026 (10-Q).

Cash runway

Going-concern warning

auditor flagged substantial doubt

The company itself flagged going-concern doubt in a filing.

Full breakdown: cash runway tool

Warrants

TrancheWarrantsExercise priceTermNotes
Public and Private Warrants15.7Mnot tagged
Warrant230,770$1.69

Tranches exactly as the company dimensioned them in its 10-Q filed May 12, 2026. Groupings can overlap (a “Series E and F” row is not additive with a “Series E” row), so do not sum this column. A tranche the filer did not tag is absent here, not absent from the cap table. DOWN-ROUND = the filer tagged price-protection accounting scoped to that tranche.

Warrants outstanding: 15.7M underlying shares, as reported Dec 31, 2025 (10-K).

Reported exercise price: $11.5 (aggregate figure as tagged; individual tranches vary).

Rough fully diluted estimate: 45.9M = 30.3M O/S + 15.7M warrant shares. An estimate, not a filing figure: it ignores converts, options and RSUs, and the two inputs carry different as-of dates.

Convertible notes

NotePrincipalCarryingConv. priceRateIf converted
Senior Secured Convertible Loannot tagged$1.0Mnot tagged

Notes exactly as the company dimensioned them in its 10-Q filed May 12, 2026. Principal is face amount as tagged, not what remains after repurchases unless the filer updated the tag. A note the filer did not dimension is absent here, not absent from the balance sheet; the exhibits stay the ground truth.

Fully diluted build-up

Shares outstanding plus every potential-share instrument the filer tagged in XBRL, each at its own as-of date. An estimate assembled from filed figures, not a filing figure itself.

Shares outstanding30.3MMay 11, 2026
+ Public and Private Warrants (if exercised)15.7MJun 18, 2025
+ Warrant (if exercised)230,770Dec 5, 2025
Fully diluted estimate46.1M+52.5% vs O/S

Still excluded, because the filer does not tag them in countable form: employee options and RSUs, any instrument living only in exhibit prose, and instruments above missing a share count. Inputs carry different as-of dates, shown per row. Each figure traces to the tranche and note tables above and their cited filings.

Registrations and offerings

Registered offering capacity on live registrations: $346.4Mfrom the structured fee exhibits; registered is not remaining, takedowns are not subtracted

S-1Apr 23, 2026$11.7M registeredfiling →
S-1Jan 29, 2026$30.8M registeredfiling →
S-1Sep 5, 2025$303.9M registeredfiling →

Last 12 months: 6 executed · 4 registered.

EXECUTEDJul 22, 2026Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K
EXECUTEDJul 2, 2026Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K
EXECUTEDMay 29, 2026Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K
EXECUTEDApr 30, 2026Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K
UPDATEApr 30, 2026Prospectus update — often a resale registration, not necessarily new capital424B3
EFFECTIVEApr 30, 2026SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT
REGISTEREDApr 23, 2026S-1 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-1
UPDATEApr 21, 2026Prospectus update — often a resale registration, not necessarily new capital424B3
EXECUTEDApr 20, 2026Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K
EFFECTIVEApr 20, 2026SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT
REGISTEREDJan 29, 2026S-1 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-1
UPDATEDec 31, 2025Resale prospectus — existing holders registering to sell424B7

Full history and shelf status: offering checker · S-3 shelf checker

Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts and filing metadata, fetched live and cached briefly. Share counts are cover-page figures with their form named. Warrant tranches and convertible notes come from the dimensioned facts in the latest 10-Q/10-K instance document, exactly as the company tagged them; untagged tranches and notes are absent, not disproven. Nothing on this page is manually verified and nothing is behind a login: what free data supports is shown, what it cannot support is stated. Not investment advice.

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