Is AFRM diluting shareholders?

Read three numbers together: shares outstanding over time (see chart), warrants that can convert into new shares (18.5M reported), and how much cash runway remains. A company short on cash with live registrations is structurally likely to issue shares.

Where do these numbers come from?

SEC EDGAR only: the XBRL company-facts API for shares, warrants and cash, and filing metadata for registrations and pricings. Every figure shows its source form, and nothing here is estimated by us beyond the arithmetic stated next to it.

Why might a warrant tranche be missing from the table?

The tranche table is built from the dimensions the company tagged in its own 10-Q or 10-K XBRL. A tranche the filer chose not to dimension does not appear, and its absence proves nothing: the exhibits remain the ground truth. Everything shown carries the filing it came from.

Dilution profile // every instrument, one screen, from SEC filings

Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM)

CIK 1820953 · all EDGAR filings →

Overall dilution risk

HIGHworst of 2 computed signals (offering ability)

= the worst band among the computed sub-ratings, no hidden weighting

not every sub-rating was computable; treat as a floor

Offering ability

HIGHS-3ASR on file 2025-02-28

= is there a registration (S-1/S-3 family) on file without a later withdrawal

no structured fee data on the live registrations, so this is a yes/no, not a size

Overhead supply

NOT COMPUTEDno warrant count tagged in XBRL

= warrant shares outstanding divided by current shares outstanding

absence of a tag is not proof of absence of warrants

Historical dilution

NOT COMPUTEDunder 3 years of share history on file

= share count now vs 3 years ago

Cash need

LOWoperating cash flow positive

= cash vs trailing operating burn (bands: 6mo / 24mo; positive operating CF = low)

Same rating bands the category standard uses, but free, with the formula on the chip and the gaps in the data said out loud.

Shares outstanding over time

Fewer than two cover-page share counts on file, so there is no history to chart.

Cash runway

Self-funding

profitable · generates cash

Full breakdown: cash runway tool · source filing →

Warrants

Tranche	Warrants	Exercise price	Term	Notes
Commercial Agreement With Amazon New Users Acquired Prior To February1	not tagged	$100	—	—
Commercial Agreement With Amazon New Users Acquired Subsequent To February1	not tagged	$63.06	—	—

Tranches exactly as the company dimensioned them in its 10-Q filed May 7, 2026 →. Groupings can overlap (a “Series E and F” row is not additive with a “Series E” row), so do not sum this column. A tranche the filer did not tag is absent here, not absent from the cap table. DOWN-ROUND = the filer tagged price-protection accounting scoped to that tranche.

Warrants outstanding: 18.5M underlying shares, as reported Mar 31, 2026 (10-Q).

Reported exercise price: $68.75 (aggregate figure as tagged; individual tranches vary).

Convertible notes

Note	Principal	Carrying	Conv. price	Rate	If converted
Convertible Senior Notes Due 2029	$920.0M	$920.0M	$101.02	0.75%	~9.1M sh
Convertible Senior Notes Due 2026	$221.3M	$221.3M	$215.65	0%	~1.0M sh

If every note above converted at its tagged price: ~10.1M new shares. An estimate from principal ÷ conversion price, with inputs carrying different as-of dates; make-whole adjustments, capped calls and partial repurchases are not modeled.

Notes exactly as the company dimensioned them in its 10-Q filed May 7, 2026 →. Principal is face amount as tagged, not what remains after repurchases unless the filer updated the tag. A note the filer did not dimension is absent here, not absent from the balance sheet; the exhibits stay the ground truth.

Registrations and offerings

S-3ASRFeb 28, 2025fee exhibit found but no total offering amount (fees deferred, typical for automatic shelves)filing →

Last 12 months: 1 executed · 0 registered.

EXECUTEDNov 6, 2025Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K →

REGISTEREDFeb 28, 2025Automatic shelf registration — effective immediately (large filers)S-3ASR →

UPDATEFeb 28, 2025Resale prospectus — existing holders registering to sell424B7 →

EXECUTEDDec 20, 2024Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K →

REGISTEREDMar 3, 2022Automatic shelf registration — effective immediately (large filers)S-3ASR →

UPDATEMar 3, 2022Resale prospectus — existing holders registering to sell424B7 →

EXECUTEDNov 23, 2021Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K →

EXECUTEDNov 10, 2021Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K →

EXECUTEDApr 22, 2021Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K →

EXECUTEDJan 14, 2021Final prospectus — offering priced (typical for IPOs and marketed share deals)424B4 →

EFFECTIVEJan 12, 2021SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT →

REGISTEREDJan 11, 2021S-1/A registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-1/A →

Full history and shelf status: offering checker · S-3 shelf checker

Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts and filing metadata, fetched live and cached briefly. Share counts are cover-page figures with their form named. Warrant tranches and convertible notes come from the dimensioned facts in the latest 10-Q/10-K instance document, exactly as the company tagged them; untagged tranches and notes are absent, not disproven. Nothing on this page is manually verified and nothing is behind a login: what free data supports is shown, what it cannot support is stated. Not investment advice.

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