Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
ITEM 3 – QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK
Management reviews interest rate sensitivity on a quarterly basis by modeling the consolidated financial statements under various interest rate scenarios. The primary reason for these efforts is to guard Park from adverse impacts of unforeseen changes in interest rates. With the shift in deposit mix and other balance sheet composition changes, Park has experienced a moderation in earnings risk exposure to either rising or falling interest rate environments, and management views its risk profile as being relatively interest rate risk neutral. Management actively monitors changes in the sensitivity position and has ample tools to adjust exposure as needed. As a result, management expects further changes in interest rates to have a modest impact on net income.
On page 69 (Table 31) of Park’s 2023 Form 10-K, management reported that Park’s twelve-month cumulative rate sensitivity gap was a positive (assets exceeding liabilities) $782.9 million or 8.7% of total interest earning assets at December 31, 2023. At March 31, 2024, Park’s twelve-month cumulative rate sensitivity gap was a positive (assets exceeding liabilities) $698.3 million or 7.64% of total interest earning assets.
Management supplements the interest rate sensitivity gap analysis with periodic simulations of balance sheet sensitivity under various interest rate and what-if scenarios to better forecast and manage the net interest margin. Management uses a 50 basis point change in market interest rates per quarter for a total of 200 basis points per year in evaluating the impact of changing interest rates on net interest income and net income over a twelve-month horizon.
On page 70 of Park’s 2023 Form 10-K, management reported that at December 31, 2023, the earnings simulation model projected that net income would increase by 1.5% using a rising interest rate scenario and decrease by 1.9% using a declining interest rate scenario over the next year. At March 31, 2024, the earnings simulation model projected that net income would decrease by 0.5% using a rising interest rate scenario and would increase by 0.2% in a declining interest rate scenario. At March 31, 2024, management continues to believe that it has the tools necessary to mitigate gradual changes in interest rates (50 basis points per quarter for a total of 200 basis points per year) such that the overall impact to net income will be modest.
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