Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Item
3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
The
primary source of market risk for us includes fluctuations in commodity prices. All of our financial instruments are for purposes other
than trading.
Credit
Risk. Credit risk is the risk of loss as a result of nonperformance by other parties of their contractual obligations. Our primary
credit risk is related to oil and gas production sold to various purchasers and the receivables are generally not collateralized. At
September 30, 2024, our largest credit risk associated with any single purchaser was $529,614 or 58% of our total oil and gas receivables.
We have not experienced any significant credit losses.
Energy
Price Risk . Our most significant market risk is the pricing applicable to our crude oil and natural gas production. Our financial
condition, results of operations, and capital resources are highly dependent upon the prevailing market prices of, and demand for, oil
and natural gas. Pricing for oil and natural gas production has been volatile and unpredictable for several years, and we expect this
volatility to continue in the future.
Pipeline
capacity constraints and maintenance in the Permian Basin area has contributed to a wider difference between the WaHa Hub and the Henry
Hub and at times prices were negative.
Factors
that can cause price fluctuations include the level of global demand for petroleum products, foreign and domestic supply of oil and gas,
the establishment of and compliance with production quotas by oil-exporting countries, weather conditions, the price and availability
of alternative fuels and overall political and economic conditions in oil producing and consuming countries.
For
example, in the last twelve months, the NYMEX West Texas Intermediate (“WTI”) posted price for crude oil has ranged from
a low of $61.73 per bbl in September 2024 to a high of $86.77 per bbl in October 2023. The Henry Hub Spot Market Price (“Henry
Hub”) for natural gas has ranged from a low of $1.25 per MMBtu in March 2024 to a high of $3.34 per MMBtu in October 2023. On September
30, 2024, the WTI posted price for crude oil was $64.15 and the Henry Hub spot price for natural gas was $2.65 per MMBtu. See Results
of Operations above for the Company’s realized prices during the three and six months.
Declines
in oil and natural gas prices will materially adversely affect our financial condition, liquidity, ability to obtain financing and operating
results. Changes in oil and gas prices impact both estimated future net revenue and the estimated quantity of proved reserves. Any reduction
in reserves, including reductions due to price fluctuations, can reduce the borrowing base under our credit facility and adversely affect
the amount of cash flow available for capital expenditures and our ability to obtain additional capital for our acquisition, exploration
and development activities. In addition, a noncash write-down of our oil and gas properties could be required under full cost accounting
rules if prices declined significantly, even if it is only for a short period of time. Lower prices may also reduce the amount of crude
oil and natural gas that can be produced economically. Thus, we may experience material increases or decreases in reserve quantities
solely as a result of price changes and not as a result of drilling or well performance.
Similarly,
any improvements in oil and gas prices can have a favorable impact on our financial condition, results of operations and capital resources.
Oil and natural gas prices do not necessarily fluctuate in direct relationship to each other. If the average oil price had increased
or decreased by ten dollars per barrel for the first six months of fiscal 2025, our operating revenues would have increased or decreased
by $392,340. If the average gas price had increased or decreased by one dollar per mcf for the first six months of fiscal 2025, our operating
revenues would have increased or decreased by $270,291.
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