Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
The Company is exposed to various market risks as a part of its operations and engages in risk management strategies to mitigate these risks. The Company continually evaluates the potential benefits of engaging in these strategies based on current market conditions. The Company does not actively engage in the practice of trading derivative instruments for profit. Additional information about the Company’s derivative financial instruments may be found in Note 13 -- Derivative Financial Instruments in the notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements. This discussion of the Company’s market risk assessments contains “forward looking statements”. For additional information regarding forward-looking statements and risks and uncertainties that could impact the Company, please refer to Item 2 of this Report - Cautionary Statement Concerning Forward-Looking Statements. Actual results and actions could differ materially from those discussed below.
Gold, Silver, Zinc and Lead Prices
Gold, silver, zinc and lead prices may fluctuate widely due to numerous factors, such as U.S. dollar strength or weakness, demand, investor sentiment, inflation or deflation, and global mine production. The Company’s profitability and cash flow may be significantly impacted by changes in the market price of gold, silver, zinc and lead.
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Hedging
To mitigate the risks associated with metal price fluctuations, the Company may enter into option contracts to hedge future production. The Company had outstanding forward contracts on 221,000 ounces of gold at June 30, 2022 that settle monthly through December 2023. The Company is targeting to hedge up to 70% of expected gold production through 2022, 50% of expected gold production for the first half of 2023 and 25% of expected gold production for the second half of 2023 in order to protect cash flow during a period of elevated capital expenditures, and may in the future layer on additional hedges as circumstances warrant. The weighted average fixed price on the forward contracts is $1,974 per ounce of gold. The contracts are generally net cash settled and, if the spot price of gold at the time of expiration is lower than the fixed price or higher than the fixed prices, it would result in a realized gain or loss, respectively. The forward contracts expose us to (i) credit risk in the form of non-performance by counterparties for contracts in which the contract price is below the spot price of a commodity, and (ii) price risk to the extent that the spot price exceeds the contract price for quantities of our production covered under contract positions. To reduce counter-party credit exposure, the Company enters into contracts with institutions management deems credit-worthy and limits credit exposure to each institution. The Company does not anticipate non-performance by any of its counterparties. For additional information, please see the section titled “Risk Factors” in the 2021 10-K and part II, Item 1A of this report.
At June 30, 2022, the fair value of the gold forward contracts was an asset of $29.3 million. For the six months ended June 30, 2022 the Company recognized a gain of $3.1 million related to expired contracts in Revenue and the remaining outstanding forwards contracts were included in accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) . A 10% increase and decrease in the price of gold at June 30, 2022 would result in a net realized loss and gain of $7.2 million and $74.8 million, respectively. The closing price of gold was $1,817 per ounce. As of August 2, 2022, the closing price of gold was $1,780 per ounce.
Provisional Metal Sales
The Company enters into sales contracts with third-party smelters and refiners which, in some cases, provide for a provisional payment based upon preliminary assays and quoted metal prices. The provisionally priced sales contracts contain an embedded derivative that is required to be separated from the host contract. Depending on the difference between the price at the time of sale and the final settlement price, embedded derivatives are recorded as either a derivative asset or liability. The embedded derivatives do not qualify for hedge accounting and, as a result, are marked to the market gold and silver price at the end of each period from the provisional sale date to the date of final settlement. The mark-to-market gains and losses are recorded in earnings. At June 30, 2022, the Company had outstanding provisionally priced sales of 10,842 ounces of gold at an average price of $1,846. Changes in gold prices resulted in provisional pricing mark-to-market gain of $0.01 million during the six months ended June 30, 2022. A 10% change in realized gold prices would cause revenue to vary by $2.0 million.
Foreign Currency
The Company operates, or has mineral interests, in several foreign countries including Canada, Mexico, and New Zealand, which exposes it to foreign currency exchange rate risks. Foreign currency exchange rates are influenced by world market factors beyond the Company’s control such as supply and demand for U.S. and foreign currencies and related monetary and fiscal policies. Fluctuations in local currency exchange rates in relation to the U.S. dollar may significantly impact profitability and cash flow.
Foreign Exchange Hedging
To manage foreign currency risk, the Company may enter into foreign currency forward exchange contracts. In 2020, the Company entered into foreign currency forward contracts to manage this risk and designated these instruments as cash flow hedges of forecasted foreign denominated transactions. The Company had no outstanding foreign currency forward exchange contracts at June 30, 2022.
Interest Rates
Interest Rate Hedging
We may use financial instruments to manage exposures to changes in interest rates on loans, which exposes us to credit risk and market risk. Credit risk is the failure of the counterparty to perform under the terms of the derivative contract. When the fair value of a derivative contract is positive, the counterparty owes us, which creates credit risk for us. When the fair value of a derivative contract is negative, we owe the counterparty and, therefore, it does not pose credit risk. We seek to minimize the credit risk in derivative instruments by entering into transactions with what we believe are high-quality counterparties. Market risk is the adverse effect on the value of a financial instrument that results from a change in interest rates. The Company had no outstanding interest rate swaps at June 30, 2022.
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Investment Risk
Equity Price Risk
We are exposed to changes in the fair value of our investments in equity securities. For the six months ended June 30, 2022, the Company recognized unrealized losses of $49.1 million in Fair value adjustments, net due to decreases in the stock price of those equity securities. At June 30, 2022, the fair value of the equity securities was $99.1 million. A 10% change in realized equity prices would result in an unrealized gain or loss of $10.0 million.
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