What changed in this filing

/stocks — the workspaceLOADING

Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

2023-02-08 compared with 2022-02-09 · 40 added, 75 removed, 54 unchanged (68% of the section changed)

3 unchanged sentences

Generally, our business model is such that rising interest rates will increase our net income, while declining interest rates will decrease net income.

As of December 31, 2021, 98% of our investments by total investment exposure earned a floating rate of interest and were financed with liabilities that pay interest at floating rates, which resulted in an amount of net equity that is positively correlated to rising interest rates, subject to the impact of interest rate floors on certain of our floating rate loans.

As of December 31, 2021 the remaining 2% of our investments by total investment exposure earned a fixed rate of interest, but are financed with liabilities that pay interest at floating rates, which resulted in a negative correlation to rising interest rates to the extent of our financing.

In certain instances where we have financed fixed rate assets with floating rate liabilities, we have purchased interest rate caps to limit our exposure to increases in interest rates on such liabilities.

LIBOR and certain other floating rate benchmark indices to which our floating rate loans and other loan agreements are tied, including, without limitation, the Euro Interbank Offered Rate, or EURIBOR, the Stockholm Interbank Offered Rate, or STIBOR, the Australian Bank Bill Swap Reference Rate, or BBSY, the Canadian Dollar Offered Rate, or CDOR, and the Swiss Average Rate Overnight, or SARON, or collectively, IBORs, are the subject of recent national, international and regulatory guidance and proposals for reform.

As of December 31, 2021, the ICE Benchmark Association, or IBA, ceased publication of all non-USD LIBOR and previously announced its intention to cease publication of remaining U.S.

dollar LIBOR settings immediately after June 30, 2023.

Federal Reserve, in conjunction with the Alternative Reference Rates Committee, a steering committee comprised of large U.S.

financial institutions, has identified the Secured Overnight Financing Rate, or SOFR, a new index calculated using short-term repurchase agreements backed by Treasury securities, as its preferred alternative rate for USD LIBOR.

Market participants have started to transition to the Sterling Overnight Index Average, or SONIA, in line with guidance from the U.K.

As of December 31, 2021, one-month SOFR is utilized as the floating benchmark rate on 16 of our loans, the financing provided on the 2020 FL3 and 2020 FL2 CLOs, plus a credit spread adjustment, and one of our credit facilities.

Additionally, as of December 31, 2021, daily compounded SONIA is utilized as the floating benchmark rate on nine of our loans and five of our credit facilities.

At this time, it is not possible to predict how markets will respond to SOFR, SONIA, or other alternative reference rates as the transition away from USD LIBOR and GBP LIBOR proceeds.

Despite the LIBOR transition in other markets, benchmark rate methodologies in Europe, Australia, Canada, and Switzerland have been reformed and rates such as EURIBOR, STIBOR, BBSY, CDOR, and SARON may persist as International Organization of Securities Commissions, or IOSCO, compliant reference rates moving forward.

However, multi-rate environments may persist in these markets as regulators and working groups have suggested market participants adopt alternative reference rates.

As of December 31, 2022, substantially all of our investments by total loan exposure earned a floating rate of interest and were financed with liabilities that pay interest at floating rates, which resulted in an amount of net equity that is positively correlated to rising interest rates, subject to the impact of interest rate floors on certain of our floating rate loans.

Refer to “Part I.

Risk Factors—Risks Related to Our Lending and Investment Activities—The expected discontinuation of currently used financial reference rates and use of alternative replacement reference rates may adversely affect net interest income related to our loans and investments or otherwise adversely affect our results of operations, cash flows and the market value of our investments.” of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.

The following table projects the impact on our interest income and expense, net of incentive fees, for the twelve-month period following December 31, 2021, assuming an immediate increase or decrease of both 25 and 50 basis points in the applicable interest rate benchmark by currency ($ in thousands):

Assets (Liabilities)

Sensitive to Changes

in Interest Rates (1)(2)(3)

Risk Factors—Risks Related to Our Lending and Investment Activities—The transition away from reference rates and the use of alternative replacement reference rates may adversely affect net interest income related to our loans and investments or otherwise adversely affect our results of operations, cash flows and the market value of our investments.” of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.

The following table projects the earnings impact on our interest income and expense, net of incentive fees, for the twelve-month period following December 31, 2022 , of an increase in the various floating-rate indices referenced by our portfolio, assuming no change in credit spreads, portfolio composition, or asset performance, relative to the average indices during the year ended December 31, 2022 ($ in thousands):

Assets (Liabilities) Sensitive to Changes in Interest Rates (1)

Interest Rate Sensitivity as of December 31, 2022 (2)

Increase in Rates

Decrease in Rates (4)

Currency 25 Basis Points

50 Basis Points

Increase in Rates Decrease in Rates

50 Basis Points

100 Basis Points

USD $ 17,048,180 Income $ 18,443 $ 40,991 $ (3,253) $ (3,253)

(13,486,462) Expense (22,894) (45,937) 9,435 9,435

$ 3,561,718 Net interest $ (4,451) $ (4,946) $ 6,182 $ 6,182

EUR $ 3,148,250 Income $ — $ — $ — $ —

(2,333,524) Expense — — — —

$ 814,726 Net interest $ — $ — $ — $ —

GBP $ 2,331,881 Income $ 3,660 $ 7,330 $ (3,018) $ (3,070)

(1,743,519) Expense (3,487) (6,974) 3,005 $3,131

$ 588,362 Net interest $ 173 $ 356 $ (13) $ 61

$ 1,137,905 Income $ 1,762 $ 3,534 $ (49) $ (52)

(888,118) Expense (1,776) (3,552) 435 518

$ 249,787 Net interest $ (14) $ (18) $ 386 $ 466

Total net interest $ (4,292) $ (4,608) $ 6,555 $ 6,709

(1) Our floating rate loans and related liabilities are indexed to the various benchmark rates relevant in each case in terms of currency and payment frequency.

Therefore the net exposure to each benchmark rate is in direct proportion to our net assets indexed to that rate.

50 Basis Points 100 Basis Points

Floating rate assets $ 26,772,122 $ 103,521 $ 207,042 $ (102,042) $ (203,889)

Floating rate liabilities (3)

(21,205,467) (84,822) (169,644) 84,342 168,644

Net exposure $ 5,566,655 $ 18,699 $ 37,398 $ (17,700) $ (35,245)

(1) Reflects the USD equivalent value of floating rate assets and liabilities denominated in foreign currencies.

(2) Increases (decreases) in interest income and expense are presented net of incentive fees.

Refer to Note 14 to our consolidated financial statements for additional details of our incentive fee calculation.

(2) Includes investment exposure to the 2018 Single Asset Securitization.

Refer to Notes 4 and 16 to our consolidated financial statements for details of the subordinate position we own in the 2018 Single Asset Securitization.

(3) Includes amounts outstanding under secured debt, securitizations, asset-specific financings, and term loans.

(4) Decrease in rates assumes the applicable benchmark rate for each currency does not decrease below 0%.

(5) Includes Swedish Krona, Australian Dollar, Canadian Dollar, and Swiss Franc currencies.

Investment Portfolio Value

As of December 31, 2021, 2% of our investments by total investment exposure earned a fixed rate of interest and as such, the values of such investments are sensitive to changes in interest rates.

We generally hold all of our investments to maturity and so do not expect to realize gains or losses on our fixed rate investment portfolio as a result of movements in market interest rates.

As of December 31, 2022, substantially all of our portfolio earned a floating rate of interest, and so the value of our investments is generally not impacted by changes in market interest rates.

Additionally, we generally hold all of our loans to maturity and so do not expect to realize gains or losses resulting from any mark to market valuation adjustments on our loan portfolio.

Risk of Non-Performance

In addition to the risks related to fluctuations in cash flows and asset values associated with movements in interest rates, there is also the risk of non-performance on floating rate assets.

In the case of a significant increase in interest rates, the additional debt service payments due from our borrowers may strain the operating cash flows of the collateral real estate assets and, potentially, contribute to non-performance or, in severe cases, default.

This risk is partially mitigated by various facts we consider during our underwriting process, which in certain cases include a requirement for our borrower to purchase an interest rate cap contract.

Our loans and investments are also subject to credit risk.

The performance and value of our loans and investments depend upon the sponsors’ ability to operate the properties that serve as our collateral so that they produce cash flows adequate to pay interest and principal due to us.

To monitor this risk, our Manager’s asset management team reviews our investment portfolios and in certain instances is in regular contact with our borrowers, monitoring performance of the collateral and

enforcing our rights as necessary.

In the case of a significant increase in interest rates, the cash flows of the collateral real estate assets may not be sufficient to pay debt service due under our loans, which may contribute to non-performance or, in severe cases, default.

This risk is partially mitigated by our consideration of rising rate stress-testing during our underwriting process, which generally includes a requirement for our borrower to purchase an interest rate cap contract with an unaffiliated third-party, provide an interest reserve deposit, and/or provide other structural guarantees.

Our loans are also subject to credit risk.

The performance and value of our loans depend upon the sponsors’ ability to operate the properties that serve as our collateral so that they produce cash flows adequate to pay interest and principal due to us.

To monitor this risk, our asset management team reviews our loan portfolios and, in certain instances, is in regular contact with our borrowers, monitoring performance of the collateral and enforcing our rights as necessary.

In addition, we are exposed to the risks generally associated with the commercial real estate market, including variances in occupancy rates, capitalization rates, absorption rates, and other macroeconomic factors beyond our control.

We seek to manage these risks through our underwriting and asset management processes.

The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted the commercial real estate markets, causing reduced occupancy, requests from tenants for rent deferral or abatement, and delays in construction and development projects currently planned or underway.

While the economy has improved significantly, macroeconomic trends associated with the COVID-19 pandemic have persisted and could continue to persist and impair our borrowers’ ability to pay principal and interest due to us under our loan agreements.

We maintain a robust asset management relationship with our borrowers and utilize these relationships to maximize the performance of our portfolio, including during periods of volatility, such as the COVID-19 pandemic.

We maintain a robust asset management relationship with our borrowers and utilize these relationships to maximize the performance of our portfolio, including during periods of volatility.

We believe that we will benefit from these relationships and from our long-standing core business model of originating senior loans collateralized by large assets in major markets with experienced, well-capitalized institutional sponsors.

Our investment portfolio’s low origination weighted-average LTV of 64.4% as of December 31, 2021 reflects significant equity value that our sponsors are motivated to protect through periods of cyclical disruption.

While we believe the principal amounts of our loans are generally adequately protected by underlying collateral value, there is a risk that we will not realize the entire principal value of certain investments.

Our Manager’s portfolio monitoring and asset management operations benefit from the deep knowledge, experience, and information advantages derived from its position as part of Blackstone’s real estate platform.

Our loan portfolio’s low origination weighted-average LTV of 63.9% as of December 31, 2022 reflects significant equity value that we expect our sponsors will be motivated to protect through periods of cyclical disruption.

Our portfolio monitoring and asset management operations benefit from the deep knowledge, experience, and information advantages derived from our position as part of Blackstone’s real estate platform.

Blackstone has built the world's preeminent global real estate business, with a proven track record of successfully navigating market cycles and emerging stronger through periods of volatility.

The market-leading real estate expertise derived from the strength of the Blackstone platform deeply informs our credit and underwriting process, and gives us the tools to expertly asset manage our portfolio and work with our borrowers throughout periods of economic stress and uncertainty.

The market-leading real estate expertise derived from the strength of the Blackstone platform deeply informs our credit and underwriting process, and we believe gives us the tools to expertly asset manage our portfolio and work with our borrowers throughout periods of economic stress and uncertainty.

The year ended December 31, 2022 has been characterized by steep declines and significant volatility in global markets, driven by investor concerns over inflation, rising interest rates, slowing economic growth and geopolitical uncertainty.

Inflation across many key economies reached generational highs, prompting central banks to take monetary policy tightening actions that are likely to create headwinds to economic growth.

The ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine is also contributing to economic and geopolitical uncertainty.

Inflation continues to rise and has caused the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates with indications of future increases, which has created further uncertainty for the economy and for our borrowers.

Although our business model is such that rising interest rates will, all else being equal, correlate to increases in our net income, increases in interest rates may adversely affect our existing borrowers Additionally, rising rates and increasing costs may dampen consumer spending and slow corporate profit growth, which may negatively impact the collateral underlying certain of our loans.

While there is debate among economists as to whether such factors, coupled with recent periods of economic contraction in the U.S.

indicate that the U.S.

has entered, or in the near term will enter, a recession, it remains difficult to predict the full impact of recent changes and any future changes in interest rates or inflation.

Capital Market Risks

8 unchanged sentences

We mitigate this exposure by depositing our cash and cash equivalents and entering into financing agreements with high credit-quality institutions.

The nature of our loans and investments also exposes us to the risk that our counterparties do not make required interest and principal payments on scheduled due dates.

We seek to manage this risk through a comprehensive credit analysis prior to making an investment and active monitoring of the asset portfolios that serve as our collateral.

The nature of our loans also exposes us to the risk that our counterparties do not make required interest and principal payments on scheduled due dates.

We seek to manage this risk through a comprehensive credit analysis prior to making a loan and active monitoring of the asset portfolios that serve as our collateral, as further discussed above.

Currency Risk

Our loans and investments that are denominated in a foreign currency are also subject to risks related to fluctuations in currency rates.

We generally mitigate this exposure by matching the currency of our foreign currency assets to the currency of the borrowings that finance those assets.

Our loans that are denominated in a foreign currency are also subject to risks related to fluctuations in currency rates.

We generally mitigate this exposure by matching the currency of our assets to the currency of the financing for our assets.

As a result, we substantially reduce our exposure to changes in portfolio value related to changes in foreign currency rates.

In addition, substantially all of our net asset exposure to the Euro, the British Pound Sterling, the Swedish Krona, the Canadian Dollar, the Australian Dollar, and the Swiss Franc has been hedged with foreign currency forward contracts as of December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020.

The following table outlines our assets and liabilities that are denominated in a foreign currency (amounts in thousands):

In addition, substantially all of our net asset exposure to foreign currencies has been hedged with foreign currency forward contracts as of December 31, 2022.

The following tables outline our assets and liabilities that are denominated in a foreign currency (amounts in thousands):

December 31, 2022

1 unchanged sentence

Foreign currency assets € 2,825,694 £ 2,827,531 $ 2,138,380

€ 2,845,833 £ 1,789,220 $ 1,168,242

Foreign currency liabilities (2,080,867) (2,120,269) (1,614,464)

(2,097,126) (1,293,241) (890,386)

Foreign currency contracts – notional (722,311) (690,912) (515,512)

2 unchanged sentences

$ 24,102 $ 19,756 $ 8,404

(1) Balances include non-consolidated senior interests of £196.8 million.

(2) British Pound Sterling balance includes a loan denominated in Euro, with an outstanding principal balance of €8.3 million as of December 31, 2021, that is hedged to British Pound Sterling exposure through a foreign currency forward contract.

Refer to Note 11 to our consolidated financial statements for additional discussion of our foreign currency derivatives.

(1) Represents the U.S.

Dollar equivalent as of December 31, 2022.

(4) Includes Swedish Krona, Australian Dollar, Canadian Dollar, and Swiss Franc currencies.

(2) Includes Swedish Krona, Australian Dollar, Canadian Dollar, Swiss Franc, and Danish Krone currencies.

December 31, 2021

9 unchanged sentences

(1) Balances include non-consolidated senior interests of £196.8 million.

(2) Euro balance includes a loan denominated in British Pound Sterling, with an outstanding principal balance of £146.2 million as of December 31, 2020, that is hedged to Euro exposure through a foreign currency forward contract.

(2) British Pound Sterling balance includes a loan denominated in Euro, with an outstanding principal balance of £8.3 million as of December 31, 2021, that is hedged to British Pound Sterling exposure through a foreign currency forward contract.

Refer to Note 11 to our consolidated financial statements for additional discussion of our foreign currency derivatives.

1 unchanged sentence

Dollar equivalent as of December 31, 2021.

(4) Includes Australian Dollar and Canadian Dollar.

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND SUPPLEMENTARY DATA

The financial statements required by this item and the reports of the independent accountants thereon required by Item 14(a)(2) appear on pages F-2 to F-48.

See accompanying Index to the Consolidated Financial Statements on page F-1.

CHANGES IN AND DISAGREEMENTS WITH ACCOUNTANTS ON ACCOUNTING AND FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE

(4) Includes Swedish Krona, Australian Dollar, Canadian Dollar, and Swiss Franc currencies.

Compared sentence by sentence after normalising whitespace, quotation marks, case and digits, so re-formatting and restated figures do not read as changed language. Wording changes appear as one removal and one addition. The current filing and the prior one are authoritative.

What changed 10-K

Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk