Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 15, 5:46 AM ET

ZTO max pain

Spot (delayed)$22.9
Max pain · Fri, Oct 16$22-3.9% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$3.08±13.4% by Fri, Oct 16
Put/Call OI0.0365 puts / 2K calls
Call wall$25largest call OI
Put wall$21largest put OI
IV3034.4%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$134Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $24

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$23+0.4%6d
Fri, Sep 18$25+9.2%34d
Fri, Oct 16$22-3.9%62d
Fri, Dec 18$25+9.2%125d
Fri, Jan 15$25+9.2%153d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot22151822252932$2M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 22 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot221518212427302K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)ZTO open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 16.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot2215182124273022
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot15182225293291%31%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 40.0% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spotflip 24151821242730+$130K$130K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 16

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.93-0.01160.02180.01-0.01-0.09
0.92-0.01170.02840.01-0.01-0.10
0.90-0.01180.03780.02-0.01-0.12
0.87-0.01190.05140.02-0.01-0.15
0.83-0.01200.07180.02-0.01-0.20
0.77-0.01210.10220.03-0.01-0.27
0.67-0.01220.14030.03-0.01-0.38
0.51-0.01230.15800.04-0.01-0.52
0.38-0.01240.13770.04-0.01-0.65
0.29-0.01250.10900.03-0.01-0.73
0.23-0.01260.08610.03-0.01-0.79
0.19-0.01270.06940.03-0.01-0.82
0.16-0.01280.05720.02-0.01-0.85
0.14-0.01290.04810.02-0.01-0.87
0.12-0.01300.04110.02-0.01-0.89

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 18 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot1520232629322K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot3151923273112K12K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 16K call contracts, 28K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: ZTO workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk