Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 6, 7:30 PM ET

TSEM max pain

Spot (delayed)$229.51
Max pain · Fri, Oct 16$200-12.9% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$75.3±32.8% by Fri, Oct 16
Put/Call OI0.426K puts / 13K calls
Call wall$240largest call OI
Put wall$180largest put OI
IV3095.8%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$1.7Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $240

Event risk before this expiration: CPI release Wed, Aug 12 · Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 7$230+0.2%today
Fri, Aug 14$227.5-0.9%7d
Fri, Aug 21$240+4.6%14d
Fri, Aug 28$225-2.0%21d
Fri, Sep 4$235+2.4%28d
Fri, Sep 11$200-12.9%35d
Fri, Sep 18$240+4.6%42d
Fri, Oct 16$200-12.9%70d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot20065146227308389470$271M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 200 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot200651151652303304308K8K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)TSEM open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 16.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot200651151652303304306161
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot65146227308389470181%86%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 94.2% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spotflip 24065115165230330430+$1.6M$1.6M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 16

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.78-0.181800.00300.29-0.20-0.21
0.76-0.191850.00310.31-0.21-0.23
0.74-0.201900.00320.32-0.21-0.25
0.72-0.211950.00340.34-0.22-0.27
0.70-0.222000.00350.35-0.23-0.29
0.67-0.232100.00380.37-0.24-0.33
0.62-0.242200.00390.38-0.25-0.37
0.58-0.252300.00410.39-0.25-0.41
0.54-0.252400.00410.40-0.25-0.46
0.50-0.262500.00420.40-0.25-0.49
0.47-0.262600.00420.40-0.25-0.53
0.43-0.252700.00410.40-0.24-0.57
0.39-0.252800.00410.39-0.23-0.61
0.36-0.242900.00400.38-0.23-0.64
0.33-0.233000.00380.36-0.21-0.67

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 55 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot85185217.5247.5287.53351K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot201051602102603408K8K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 45K call contracts, 35K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: TSEM workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk