stocktools
Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Jul 31, 5:49 AM ET

TRON max pain

Spot (delayed)$1.49
Max pain · Fri, Jan 21$7.5+403.4% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$1.75±117.4% by Fri, Jan 21
Put/Call OI2.145K puts / 2K calls
Call wall$5largest call OI
Put wall$7.5largest put OI
IV3095.3%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$723per 1% move · flip ≈ $7.5

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Aug 7 · CPI release Wed, Aug 12 · Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$1.5+0.7%21d
Fri, Sep 18$2.5+67.8%49d
Fri, Oct 16$2+34.2%77d
Fri, Jan 15$1.5+0.7%168d
Fri, Jan 21$7.5+403.4%539d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot7.5123568$3M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 7.5 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Jan 21

spot7.50.51.52.57.54K4K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)TRON open contracts per strike for Fri, Jan 21.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Jan 21

spot7.50.51.52.57.511
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Jan 21

spot123568240%113%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 153.3% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Jan 21

spotflip 7.50.51.52.57.5+$1K$1K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Jan 21

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.900.000.50.11670.000.00-0.07
0.78-0.0010.11320.000.00-0.13
0.73-0.001.50.10620.000.00-0.16
0.71-0.0020.10130.01-0.00-0.18
0.69-0.002.50.09780.01-0.00-0.19
0.65-0.0050.08870.01-0.00-0.24
0.62-0.007.50.08460.01-0.00-0.28

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot0.51.52.57.52K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot0.51.52.57.54K4K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 8K call contracts, 6K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: TRON workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk