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Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Jul 31, 5:49 AM ET

TRON max pain

Spot (delayed)$1.49
Max pain · Fri, Jan 15$1.5+0.7% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$1.03±68.8% by Fri, Jan 15
Put/Call OI0.12310 puts / 3K calls
Call wall$7.5largest call OI
Put wall$2.5largest put OI
IV3095.3%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$897per 1% move · flip ≈ $1

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Aug 7 · CPI release Wed, Aug 12 · Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$1.5+0.7%21d
Fri, Sep 18$2.5+67.8%49d
Fri, Oct 16$2+34.2%77d
Fri, Jan 15$1.5+0.7%168d
Fri, Jan 21$7.5+403.4%539d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot1.5123568$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 1.5 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot1.50.51.52.57.52K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)TRON open contracts per strike for Fri, Jan 15.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot1.50.51.52.57.53636
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot123568226%96%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 136.9% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spotflip 10.51.52.57.5+$653$653
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Jan 15

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.95-0.000.50.13260.000.00-0.06
0.78-0.0010.27350.00-0.00-0.19
0.61-0.001.50.29150.00-0.00-0.33
0.52-0.0020.26480.00-0.00-0.41
0.47-0.002.50.24100.00-0.00-0.46
0.36-0.0050.18140.00-0.00-0.57
0.32-0.007.50.15680.00-0.00-0.62

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot0.51.52.57.52K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot0.51.52.57.54K4K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 8K call contracts, 6K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: TRON workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk