Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 29, 5:32 AM ET

TMO max pain

Spot (delayed)$622.18
Max pain · Fri, Sep 25$610-2.0% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$36.95±5.9% by Fri, Sep 25
Put/Call OI15.092K puts / 100 calls
Call wall$630largest call OI
Put wall$540largest put OI
IV3026.6%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$983Kper 1% move
Earnings · expectedWed, Oct 21usually before the open

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Sep 4$605-2.8%6d
Fri, Sep 11$595-4.4%13d
Fri, Sep 18$530-14.8%20d
Fri, Sep 25$610-2.0%27d
Fri, Oct 2$620-0.4%34d
Fri, Oct 9$630+1.3%41d
Fri, Oct 16$620-0.4%48d
Fri, Nov 20$630+1.3%83d← 1st expiry after earnings (Wed, Oct 21)

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot610350436522608694780$28M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 610 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Sep 25

spot6103505105606206807501K1K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)TMO open contracts per strike for Fri, Sep 25.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Sep 25

spot6103505105606206807502020
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Sep 25

spot42049256463670878098%25%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 26.8% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Sep 25

spot420520570630710760+$1.1M$1.1M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Sep 25

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.94-0.125400.00200.21-0.12-0.06
0.92-0.155500.00260.26-0.15-0.08
0.90-0.175600.00330.31-0.17-0.10
0.86-0.205700.00420.38-0.20-0.14
0.82-0.235800.00520.45-0.23-0.18
0.70-0.296000.00730.60-0.29-0.30
0.63-0.316100.00810.65-0.32-0.38
0.54-0.336200.00860.68-0.33-0.46
0.46-0.326300.00870.68-0.33-0.55
0.37-0.316400.00830.65-0.31-0.63
0.30-0.286500.00750.60-0.29-0.71
0.24-0.266600.00660.53-0.26-0.77
0.14-0.206800.00460.40-0.20-0.86
0.07-0.127100.00250.23-0.13-0.94
0.05-0.107200.00200.19-0.11-0.96

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 29 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot320450540607.56406959970
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2403704605506407202K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 29K call contracts, 27K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: TMO workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk