Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 29, 5:32 AM ET

TMO max pain

Spot (delayed)$622.18
Max pain · Fri, Sep 18$530-14.8% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$31.6±5.1% by Fri, Sep 18
Put/Call OI0.757K puts / 10K calls
Call wall$730largest call OI
Put wall$450largest put OI
IV3026.6%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$14.3Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $570
Earnings · expectedWed, Oct 21usually before the open

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Sep 4$605-2.8%6d
Fri, Sep 11$595-4.4%13d
Fri, Sep 18$530-14.8%20d
Fri, Sep 25$610-2.0%27d
Fri, Oct 2$620-0.4%34d
Fri, Oct 9$630+1.3%41d
Fri, Oct 16$620-0.4%48d
Fri, Nov 20$630+1.3%83d← 1st expiry after earnings (Wed, Oct 21)

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot530240342444546648750$173M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 530 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Sep 18

spot530240400480560630700996996
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)TMO open contracts per strike for Fri, Sep 18.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Sep 18

spot5302404004805606307008080
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Sep 18

spot370446522598674750105%23%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 26.5% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Sep 18

spotflip 570440500560620660720+$2.6M$2.6M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Sep 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.95-0.115500.00210.15-0.12-0.05
0.93-0.155600.00300.20-0.15-0.07
0.90-0.185700.00400.27-0.19-0.10
0.86-0.235800.00530.34-0.23-0.14
0.80-0.285900.00680.42-0.28-0.20
0.73-0.326000.00830.50-0.32-0.28
0.64-0.356100.00960.56-0.35-0.36
0.54-0.376200.01030.59-0.37-0.46
0.49-0.376250.01040.59-0.37-0.51
0.44-0.366300.01020.59-0.36-0.56
0.34-0.346400.00950.55-0.34-0.66
0.30-0.326450.00890.52-0.32-0.71
0.26-0.306500.00830.48-0.30-0.75
0.19-0.256600.00680.41-0.25-0.81
0.14-0.206700.00540.33-0.21-0.87

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 45 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot320450540607.56406959970
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2403704605506407202K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 29K call contracts, 27K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: TMO workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk